UFC 203: Miocic vs Overeem Date: September 10, 2016 Arena: Quicken Loans Arena City: Cleveland, OH The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is headed to Cleveland, OH for the first time in promotional history with UFC 203: Miocic vs Overeem. The stacked 13 fight card, which includes the debut of WWE superstar Phil “CM Punk” Brooks is set to kick off with preliminary action at 6:15pm ET on UFC Fight Pass, which will follow at 8pm ET on FOX Sports 1, culminating with the main card at 10pm ET only on Pay Per View. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my live dogs: Welterweight bout: Sean Spencer (+120) vs Yancy Medeiros (-140) Gabe’s Thoughts: Coming off a unanimous decision loss to Francisco Trinaldo, Medeiros has opted to make the move from lightweight up to the UFC’s welterweight division. It is worth noting that he competed at middleweight prior to signing with the UFC, and dropped all the way down to lightweight for his Octagon debut. He will be looking to get back on track by taking out Spencer, who is also in need of victory himself, as he is coming off a third round knockout against Mike Pyle. He was winning that fight on most scorecards heading into the final round, where the veteran was able to secure the come from behind stoppage victory. I believe Spencer is the superior fighter of the two heading into this 170-pound match-up and I expect him to keep to keep this fight on the feet and outbox Medeiros for three rounds of action en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards, potentially stopping him with strikes along the way. Generally a fighter who wins by decision, I like Spencer’s chances of recording a finish in this one. I think he should be a -230 betting favorite heading into this contest, so I see a world of value in him at his currently offered underdog price of +120. Gabe’s Call: Spencer by T/KO (punches, 3:52 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Spencer (+120) 3.5u to win 4.2u Light Heavyweight bout: CB “The Doberman” Dollaway (-170) vs Francimar “Bodao” Barroso (+150) Gabe’s Thoughts: Dollaway moves up to the UFC’s light heavyweight division for this contest, after dropping three straight fights at middleweight to Lyoto Machida, Michael Bisping and Nate Marquardt, respectively. Welcoming him to 205-pounds will be Barroso, who is coming off a second round rear naked choke submission loss to Nikita Krylov and will also be seeking a return to the win column. I think this bout is closer than the current betting odds suggest; I see this as a coin-flip fight, so I’ll take a shot at Barroso at his current underdog price of +150. Gabe’s Call: Barroso by T/KO (punches, 1:06 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Barroso (+150) 1u to win 1.5u
