UFC 201: Lawler vs Woodley Date: July 30, 2016 Arena: Philips Arena City: Atlanta, GA The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Atlanta, GA for the third time in promotional histor with UFC 201: Lawler vs Woodley. The action packed 12 fight card is set to kick off on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET with preliminary action, which will continue on FOX Sprots 2 at 8pm ET. Main card action will be live on Pay Per View at 10pm ET. If interested in wagering on this parlay, or any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are currently made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my parlays: Welterweight title bout: Robbie Lawler (-145) vs Tyron Woodley (+125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I don’t believe Woodley wants to fight anymore. He’s 34-years-old and has not had an impressive victory since a UFC Fight Night 48 knockout of “Stun Gun” Dong Hyun Kim two years ago. I think he is fighting for the money; the money that comes with a championship fight, and furthermore, with being a champion. He does indeed want to win this fight and will try his best to do so, but his reasons for doing so are not the same as Lawler’s. Lawler cares more about taking Woodley’s head off than he does cashing a check. Lawler is not worrying about what he is going to do after his fighting career is over, which happens to be what Woodley has been focused on. In fact, he was busy filming a “Fast and the Furious” sequel just days before his fight this weekend. I believe he is going to be dangerous early in this fight, but as long as Lawler does not get caught, I think this is his fight to lose. Woodley should come out looking to take his head off, because if he opts to pace himself for a five round fight, I see him either losing a decision or getting stopped with strikes in the championship rounds. A lot of action has been coming in on Woodley, but I do not agree with it. I didn’t love Lawler at his -210 betting line a few days ago, but I really like him at his current line of -145. I also like the Total of Over 2.5 rounds at -140, as I think this fight goes past the two and a half round mark, as long as the champ avoids getting caught early. Gabe’s Call: Lawler by T/KO (punches, 3:12 round 4) Flyweight bout: Fredy Serrano (-125) vs Ryan Benoit (+105) Gabe’s Thoughts: Serrano is the superior wrestler and stronger fighter of the two. I think his grappling and strikes will be more effective than Benoit’s over the course of three rounds, and I ultimately see him picking up a unanimous decision victory from the judges at Octagon-side. I also think he is the more likely fighter to finish, as I believe he hits very hard for the 125-pound division. I am a fan of Benoit’s but I think Serrano is the play here ‘cos he’s currently being offered at -125 when I think he should be a -180 betting favorite heading in. I think he wins this fight more often than not, and does so via decision more times than not. Gabe’s Call: Serrano by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Parlays: 1) Lawler (-145) and Serrano (-125) at +204 for 1.4u to win 2.8u and 2) Lawler/Woodley Over 2.5 rounds (-140) and Serrano/Benoit Over 2.5 rounds (-115) at +220 for 1u to win 2.2u
