UFC Fight Night 83 Date: February 21, 2016 Arena: Consol Energy Center City: Pittsburgh, PA The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Pittsburgh, PA for the second time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 83: Cowboy vs Cowboy. The main card will be live on FOX Sports 1 at 9pm ET, with preliminary action preciding it on the same channel at 7pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my live dogs: Welterweight bout: Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira (+265) vs Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (-295) Gabe’s Thoughts: Oliveira is a late notice replacement for Cerrone’s original scheduled opponent, Tim Means, who was set to greet Cerrone in his 170-pound debut. Contrary to popular opinion, I think the Brazilian has a legitimate chance at getting his hand raised in this match-up. At the moment, I am leaning towards Cerrone to get his hands raised and agree that he should be the betting favorite heading into this welterweight contest, however I don’t agree with the current betting odds. I think Oliveira has a better chance at winning than the odds currently suggest, so I like him for a value play here at +265. Gabe’s Call: Cerrone by Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Oliveira (+265) 1.55u to win 4.1u Middleweight bout: Chris Camozzi (-250) vs Joe Riggs (+230) Gabe’s Thoughts: Camozzi has a big advantage in striking heading into this middleweight contest and Riggs has a big advantage in wrestling, making this a classic “striker vs grappler” match-up. I think Camozzi’s defensive wrestling is poor, so I see Riggs being able to exploit it and win at least two out of three rounds in the judges’ eyes en route to a unanimous decision on the scorecards. At +230, I believe the betting value here is with Riggs, even though I consider him to be someone you can’t really trust with your wallet. At these odds, and in this particular stylistic match-up, I find it tough to pass on him for a play. Gabe’s Call: Riggs by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Riggs (+230) 1.5u to win 3.45u Welterweight bout: Jonavin Webb (-255) vs Nathan Coy (+235) Gabe’s Thoughts: In short, I think this is a close fight, so at the current betting odds, I see enough value in Coy at his current underdog tag of +235 to pull the trigger on him for a play. I can see him making this an ugly fight and coming out with his hand raised. Gabe’s Call: Coy by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Coy (+235) 1.45u to win 3.4u
