UFC on FOX 18 Date: January 30, 2016 Arena: Prudential Center City: Newark, NJ The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Newark, NJ for the seventh time in promotional history with UFC on FOX 18: Johnson vs Bader. The action packed 13-fight card kicks off at 8pm ET on FOX, with preliminary action preceding it on FOX Sports 1 at 5pm ET and Fight Pass at 3:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Ben Rothwell (+125) vs Josh Barnett (-145) Rothwell by Decision (+625) 1u to win 6.25u Should this fight hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, I would favor Barnett to take the nod, but I think there’s value to be had with Rothwell taking it at the current price tag of +625. I could see him winning an ugly decision here, and although I personally hit this prop at +715, I think it’s still worth a play at +625. Iuri Alcantara (+145) vs Jimmie Rivera (-165) Rivera Inside the Distance (+478) 1u to win 4.78u Rivera -3.5 (+205) 1u to win 2.05u Simply put, I think Rivera is going to get a big win here, either by finish or 30-27 unanimous decision on the judges’ scorecards. Jake Ellenberger (+220) vs Tarec Saffiedine (-260) Saffiedine by Decision (-127) 1.27u to win 1u I like Saffiedine to land a higher volume of strikes over the course of three rounds to take home a unanimous decision victory over the veteran Ellenberger in this 170-pound affair. This is a very important fight for both fighters, and I believe the superior striker will come out on top. I see him succesfully defending takedowns, keeping the fight on the fat and out-landing “The Juggernaut” by a wide-margin en route to the scorecards. Diego Ferreira (+230) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-270) Aubin-Mercier by Decision (-126) 1.26u to win 1u In short, I think this is the most likely outcome to this lightweight contest. I see Aubin-Mercier outwrestling the Brazilian while avoiding his submissions to take home the unanimous nod from the judges’ at Octagon-side. Alex Caceres (-270) vs Masio Fullen (+220) Caseres by Submission (+170) 1u to win 1.7u I think Caceres is going to have a big advantage on the mat, and sooner or later, will lock up a submission to earn the tap from Fullen; likely a triangle or rear naked choke. I favor Caceres to end his three fight winning streak here and return to the win column in impressive fashion.
