The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale Date: December 11, 2015 Arena: The Chelsea City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 22 Finale will be live from The Chelsea at The Cosmopolitan tonight (December 11, 2015). If interested in wagering on these, or any bouts on this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my plays: Heavyweight bout: Gabriel Gonzaga (-105) vs Konstantin Erokhin (-105) Gabe’s Thoughts: I see Gonzaga’s veteran experience benefiting him this contest and see him getting his hand raised as long as he avoids the knockout blow. Erokhin is a threat to finish and Gonzaga doesn’t possess the greatest chin, so an Erokhin by T/KO victory is a likely outcome to this heavyweight contest. That said, I feel the Brazilian is the better fighter of the two and should manage to have his hand raised. Gabe’s Call: Gonzaga by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Gonzaga (-105) 1.05u to win 1u Flyweight bout: Geane Herrera (-110) vs Joby Sanchez (-110) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Herrera has a big edge in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu in this contest and see 15 minutes as plenty of time for him to find a way to tap Sanchez. I think he is the fighter with the brighter future in the UFC’s flyweight division and like him to get his hand raised in this his second UFC match-up. He made his promotional debut against highly touted veteran Ray Borg and went the distance in a unanimous decision defeat, which came as a surprise to many who thought Borg would make quick work of him. Borg was the toughest test of his career and he now takes several steps down in competion in this match-up against Sanchez, who I believe is also a solid 125-pounder, though not quite as good as Herrera. Gabe’s Call: Herrera by Submission (triangle choke, 2:33 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Herrera (-110) 1.1u to win 1u Lightweight bout: Abner Llovera (+155) vs Chris Gruetzemacher (-185) Gabe’s Thoughts: I see Gritz employing his superior wrestling in this contest for three rounds of action en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. I think he has a big advantage in grappling and see him controlling this fight on the mat. He will search for the finish, and I would not be surprised to see him find it, but Llovera is tough and won’t be easy to put away, so I favor Gritz to get the job done on the judges’ cards in Las Vegas this evening. I don’t see Llovera knocking Gritz out, I don’t see him being able to do enough over three rounds and I can’t really see him submitting him, either. Of course, it is possible he could catch him with something, I just think the odds of him pulling anything off in this fight are very slim. I think this is Gruetzemacher’s fight to lose, and I don’t believe he will. I think Gritz should be a -350 betting favorite heading into this bout, so I like him for a wager at his current offering price of -185. Gabe’s Call: Gritz by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Gruetzemacher (-185) 5.55u to win 3u
