Ryan BaderUFC 192 Date: October 3, 2015 Arena: Toyota Center City: Houston, TX The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Houston, TX for the fourth time in promotional history this Saturday night (October 3, 2015) with UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson. The action-packed and stacked 13-fight card kicks off on UFC Fight Pass at 6pm ET, with televised prelims following on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm ET and main card action getting going on Pay Per View at 10pm. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at 5Dimes Sportsbooks. My Fights to AVOID betting for UFC 192: Light Heavyweight bout: Rashad Evans (-160) vs Ryan Bader (+140) Gabe’s Thoughts: In my eyes, this is a coin-flip fight, which means I think there is some betting value in Bader at his current betting line of +140, however I am opting to pass on it for a wager. I think this is going to be a really close fight; perhaps the type of scrap that could go either way when the judges’ at Octagon-side enter the picture, following the 15-minutes of co-main event action. Bader was looked over for a title shot and is hungry to make a statement heading into this 205-pound contest. Evans is coming off an extended layoff, which follows a first round TKO win over Chael Sonner, and that fight also came following an extended layoff. They were not a factor against Sonnen, but they could certainly be more of a factor against Bader, as I believe Bader wants to win a lot more than Sonnen did. If both fighters are on top of their game, I think Evans wins this fight either by knockout or decision, but all factors considered, I am leaning towards Bader as my official pick. He has been improving from fight to fight, and unlike Evans, has been active. I think there is a good chance he gets his hand raised in Houston this Saturday night, however as far as a wager is concerned, that trigger finger still feels a little shy. Gabe’s Call: Bader by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Welterweight bout: Johny Hendricks (-280) vs Tyron Woodley (+240) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Hendricks should be a -280 betting favorite heading into this welterweight contest, which means I am in full agreement with his current offering price of, well, -280. I think he deserves that line, but as far as a bet goes, there is no value in it to make it worth a pull on the trigger. I think Hendricks is the superior wrestling heading into this bout, not to mention the superior striker, so I believe he will have the advantage, regardless of where the fight takes place. Hendricks and Woodley are amongst the hardest hitting welterweights in the division, so a knockout is possible by either party at any given moment. We are best off staying away from this one at the sportsbooks this weekend, while sitting back with a cold one and making sure not to blink. Gabe’s Call: Hendricks by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID


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