UFC Fight Night 72 Date: July 18, 2015 Arena: The SSE Hydro City: Glasgow, Scotland, UK The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is set to make it’s inaugral trip to Scotland tomorrow (July 18, 2015) with UFC Fight Night 72 in Glasgow. The 12-fight card will be headlined by a middleweight contest between Brazilian veteran Thales Leites and the United Kingdom’s own Michael “The Count” Bisping. Main card action gets underway at 1pm ET on FOX Sports 1, with preliminary action preceding it on the same channel at 11am and a pair of bouts before it on UFC Fight Pass at 10am ET. If interested wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my live dogs for UFC Fight Night 72 in Glasgow: Lightweight bout: Evan Dunham (+210) vs Ross Pearson (-230) Gabe’s Thoughts: I want to start off by saying that I think Dunham has a (somewhat recent) win over current UFC Lightweight Champion Rafael dos Anjos. The judges’ gave that fight to dos Anjos, and I did not agree with that decision. I had my money on dos Anjos at the time and thought I had lost, and when his name was announced, I felt Dunham had been robbed. Though make no mistake, I was happy to cash my ticket! I think this is a close fight and I had been leaning Pearson to edge it out, but the more I think about this match-up, the more I like Dunham for a value play. I was initially going to opt to pass on this fight, as I do see it as a complete “dog or pass” situation, but I have changed my mind and will be riding with the dog. I think this is a fight he could win via T/KO, submission or on the judges’ scorecards. If he shows up on top of his game and mentally focused, I think he could impressively win this fight. Gabe’s Call: Dunham by T/KO (knees and punches, 3:52 round three) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Dunham (+210) 2u to win 4.2u Women’s Strawweight bout: Cortney Casey (+305) vs Joanne Calderwood (-335) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think the most likely outcome to this women’s 115-pound contest is Calderwood edging out a decision on the judges’ scorecards following three competitive rounds of action. At these current betting odds, however, I think the value is with the +305 undedog Casey, who is set to make her promotional debut. I think this is a fight that could go either way, and while I slightly lean towards the hometown favorite Calderwood to pick up to win, I have to play Casey here based on value/odds. Gabe’s Call: Calderwood by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Casey (+305) 1.35u to win 4.11u Flyweight bout: Paddy Holohan (-145) vs Vaughan Lee (+135) Gabe’s Thoughts: In short, I think Lee outpoints Holohan on the feet over three rounds of action en route to picking up a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. As long as he does not get finished in the first round, I think he will walk away with the fight, being the fighter with superior cardo, even in his debut at 125-pounds. Gabe’s Call: Lee by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Lee (+135) 3u to win 4.05u Heavyweight bout: Chris de la Rocha (+135) vs Daniel Omielanczuk (-145) Gabe’s Thoughts: To put it simply, I think de la Rocha is the better all around mixed martial artist in this match-up. I think the betting odds should be the other way around, with de la Rocha as the slight favorite, so I see some value in him at his current underdog tag of +135 and like him for a play. Gabe’s Call: de la Rocha via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: de la Rocha (+135) 2u to win 2.7u
