UFC Fight Night 70 Date: June 27, 2015 Arena: Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino City: Hollywood, FL The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Hollywood, FL for the fourth time in promotion history for UFC Fight Night 70: Machida vs Romero. The nine-fight card will kick off at 7pm ET on FOX Sports 2 with a four-fight preliminary card, and the main card will get going at 9pm ET on FOX Sports 1 with five scheduled bouts. If interested in wagering on these props, or any plays on this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays for UFC Fight Night 70: Hacran Dias (-190) vs Levan Makashvili (+175) Makashvili by Decision (+250) 1u to win 2.5u Makashvili +3.5 (-185) 3.7u to win 2u I am in disagreement with the current betting odds for this contest, as I think Makashvili should be favored heading into the contest due to what I believe are advantages in boxing and wrestling, despite Dias being a solid wrestler in his own right with an ever-growing striking arsenal. I could see Makashvili catching Dias with his hands or with a choke (front-choke, most likely) but more often than not, I think he takes this one after three rounds of action on the judges’ scorecards. For a full write-up on this featherweight contest, please refer to my fight article for the bout. Alex Oliveira (-410) vs Joe Merritt (+365) Merritt by Decision (+900) 1u to win 9u I see a lot of value in this +900 line, considering that contrary to popular opinion, I think this is the most likely outcome to this welterweight contest. I think Merritt is going to edge this fight on the judges’ scorecards. I won’t be surprised if he wins it very convinvingly, but I think it’s going to be a close fight that he edges. Oliveira is solid on the feet, but as long as Merritt keeps the fight there, I think he will be able to edge this out. At +900, this is certainly worth a shot. I could see him catching the Brazilian and putting him away, even considering that he has a good chin, but I think a win on the cards is the more likely outcome and offers more value, as the return on the Inside the Distance prop is +535 and by T/KO is +600. Leandro Silva (-190) vs Lewis Gonzalez (+182) Gonzalez by Decision (+238) 1u to win 2.38u In short, I think this is the most likely outcome to this catchweight match-up. I’m not so sure how the first round will play out, but I think Gonzalez will get the better of Silva. Regardless of what happens in the first round, I think Gonzalez will survive any possible danger and go on to win the second and third rounds to pick up a unanimous decision on the judges’ scorecards. Despite Gonzalez coming in three pounds overweight at the weigh-ins yesterday, I think he will have the cardio edge headed into this contest, which I see playing a factor in him getting his hand raised. I see Gonzalez grinding Silva out for a unanimous decision victory in his Octagon debut.
