Saturday’s UFC on FX 7 card was difficult to predict from a betting perspective as the MMA OddsCast stated. In total, favorites came came through in just six of the 11 bouts while four underdogs cashed. In addition, one fight ended in a controversial No-Contest. Here’s a betting recap for the event based on closing MMA odds: UFC BETTING FAVORITES THAT WON Francisco Trinaldo (-440), Ronny Markes (-275), and Edson Barboza (-310) were the biggest favorites to come through, as they defeated CJ Keith (+340), Andrew Craig (+215), and Lucas Martins (+250), respectively. Trinaldo dominated Keith en route to a second-round submission victory while Markes decisioned Craig 29-28 over three rounds, and Barboza submitted Martins with strikes in the first. On the main card, Gabriel Gonzaga (-130) submitted Ben Rothwell (+100) and Khabib Nurmagomedov (-210) knocked out Thiago Tavares (+170) in a fight which two of the three MMA OddsCast hosts recommended to bet on. And in the main event of the night, Vitor Belfort (-130) defeated Michael Bisping (EVEN) via TKO to move one step closer to a possible rematch and another title shot against either light heavyweight champion Jon Jones or middleweight champ Anderson Silva. Bisping again failed to come through for the third time in a title eliminator bout after previously losing to Chael Sonnen and Dan Henderson under similar scenarios. UFC BETTING UNDERDOGS THAT WON In the co-main event of the evening, underdog CB Dollaway (+105) was able to defeat favorite Daniel Sarafian (-135) via split decision. It was a close fight, but ultimately Dollaway’s top control won the fight for him. In the prelims, Nik Lentz (+120) was able to blanket Diego Nunes (-140) for three rounds and win a unanimous decision. Godofredo “Pepey” Castro (+155) was also pull off a split decision victory over veteran Milton Viera (-185) in a fight which most media members scored for the veteran Viera. And in the first televised bout of the night, Ildemar Alcantara (+170) was able to come back and submit Wagner Prado (-210) in a very impressive all-around performance. Fighting up a weight class, Alcantara submitted Prado via kneebar in the second round of a competitive fight. All in all, if you were sharp enough to pick the dogs on this card, you did well. MORE UFC ON FX 7 ODDS & ENDS Yuri Alcantara (-600) fought Pedro Nobre (+475) to a controversial NC in a preliminary fight. Alcantara clearly was dominating the fight, but according to referee Dan Miragliotta, he hit Nobre in the back of the head with an illegal head shot in the middle of the first round and after Nobre couldn’t continue, the fight was called off. The fight didn’t hurt bettors, but it didn’t help either as far as bets and making money goes. Keep in mind Miragliotta was criticized by UFC president Dana White, and the ref had another bad moment later when he paused during Nurmagomedov’s KO and let Tavares take several additional elbows before calling it.
