UFC 185 Date: 03/14/15 Arena: American Airlines Center City: Dallas, TX The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Dallas, TX tonight (Mar. 14, 2015) with UFC 185, featuring an action-packed fight card that includes two championship bouts. The main card gets underway at 10pm ET on Pay Per View, with preliminary action getting going on FX at 8pm and UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm before that. If interested in wagering on any of the props on this fight card, all lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays for UFC 185 are: Women’s Strawweight title bout: Carla Esparza (-135) vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+115) Jedrzejczyk +3.5 (-160) 1.6u to win 1u I expect this to be a closely contested bout and I am really torn between who I think will get her hand raised. Even in a losing effort, I think JJ will manage to keep this close. I was originally leaning with Esparza to win a split decision as my pick, but after the weigh ins I am slightly leaning more towards the challenger. Heavyweight bout: Alistair Overeem (-145) vs Roy Nelson (+135) Overeem by Decision (+394) 1u to win 3.94u I think this is the most likely outcome to this heavyweight fight and see plenty of value in it at the current betting tag of +394. To read my full write-up on this battle, I refer you to my fight article. Flyweight bout: Chris Cariaso (+535) vs Henry Cejudo (-650) Cejudo by Decision (-160) .8u to win .5u I would not be surprised to see Cejudo earn a finish here in his UFC flyweight debut, but I think a decision victory is more likely. At the current betting price of -160, I think it’s worth a shot, especially considering that the Mexican fighter is nearing 7-to-1 favorite odds for a straight play. I expect him to dominate the veteran Cariaso for three rounds of action in this bout and ultimately pick up a one-sided unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. Heavyweight bout: Jared Rosholt (-310) vs Josh Copeland (+280) Copeland in Round One (+700) .4u to win 2.8u Simply put, I see value in this line and think it’s worth a shot, as it is the outcome to this match-up I am expecting. For my full write-up on his heavyweight fight, please check out my fight article. Lightweight bout: Jake Lindsey (+480) vs Joseph Duffy (-570) Duffy Inside the Distance (-140) .7u to win .5u I believe Duffy is the superior mixed martial artist in this lightweight match-up and I think there is a very good chance he earns a finish over his opponent Lindsey here in his Octagon debut. I could see him finishing the fight via strikes, but more often than not I think he will end this one with a submission. I am expecting an impressive performance from Duffy, even with potential Octagon jitters, and favor his chances of finishing the fight more so than I do him winning on the judges’ scorecards. However, aforementioned Octagon jitters in mind, I am opting to keep this play smaller than I would have had this not been his first UFC fight. Women’s Bantamweight bout: Germaine de Randamie (+110) vs Larissa Pacheco (-120) de Randamie Inside the Distance (+312) .5u to win 1.56u To put it simply, I like de Randamie’s chances of finishing Pacheco and see value in the prop, even at it’s fallen betting price of +312. Luckily, I got it at +402, but I still see value in it at +312, as I think it is the most likely outcome to this women’s bantamweight contest. For a full write-up on this ladies’ scrap, please check out my fight article for the contest.
