Roy Nelson UFC 185 takes place Saturday night at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, but before you lay your bets be sure to take a look at these five prop bets that I believe hold solid betting value this weekend. Anthony Pettis wins inside the distance (-155) The main event of UFC 185 sees Anthony Pettis take on Rafael dos Anjos for the UFC lightweight title. As good as RDA has looked as of late, I don’t really think this fight is going to be that competitive. I think Pettis is the best lightweight fighter in the world and I fully expect him to win this bout in dominant fashion. At -155, the prop on Pettis to win this fight inside the distance looks to hold some value compared to his regular moneyline. Johny Hendricks wins by decision (-105) In what should be one of the best fights of the night, Johny Hendricks takes on Matt Brown with a possible title shot on the line for the winner. I think Hendricks stylistically has this one in the bag, as he should be able to outstrike Brown on the feet and take him down when he wants to. As Brown has never been finished before, I favor Hendricks to win a decision. At -105, there’s value in this prop. Roy Nelson wins in round 1 (+350) When Roy Nelson takes on Alistair Overeem in a heavyweight scrap, I don’t think many expect the fight to go the full three rounds. Both guys hit extremely hard and both guys have been knocked out in the last 6 months, and I think that someone is going down here this weekend. My lean is towards Nelson, and if he gets the job done it will likely come in the first round. At +350, there’s value on the Nelson wins in round 1 prop as that’s the round he’s most likely to get a finish in. Beneil Dariush vs. Daron Cruickshank does not go three-round distance (-130) A lightweight fight between Beneil Dariush and Daron Cruickshank should prove to be a tremendous scrap, and I really believe there’s going to be a finish in this one. Both guys are finishers and both guys have questionable defence, so I’m leaning towards a finish in this one either way. At -130, there looks to be value on the prop of this fight not going the full three-round distance. Joseph Duffy wins inside the distance (-130) One prop that I’m very confident in is Joseph Duffy winning his fight against Jake Lindsey inside the distance. Almost all of Duffy’s victories have come via T/KO or submission and both of Lindsey’s losses have come by sub. Duffy is a very offensively-gifted fighter while Lindsey is not durable by any stretch of the imagination, and I fully expect him to get finished in this fight. At -130, there’s great value on this prop compared to the regular Duffy moneyline.


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