WSOF 18 Date: February 12, 2015 Arena: Edmonton Expo Centre City: Edmonton, Alberta, Canada WSOF 18 will be live on the NBC Sports Network tonight (Feb. 12, 2015) at 10pm ET with a four-fight main card. If interested in wagering on this card, these lines will be made available to you at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays for WSOF 18 are: Bantamweight title bout: Josh Hill (+525) vs Marlon Moraes (-750) Moraes by Decision (+223) .7u to win 1.56u To put it simply, I think this is the most likely outcome to this scrap. I favor Moraes to win via decision more than I do inside the distance. I think there is a decent amount of value in the decision prop at +223, considering he is a near 8-to-1 betting favorite to win the contest in his first official WSOF bantamweight title defense. Moraes’ fight against Brandon Hempleman showed that he has heart, in the sense that he could have finished Hempleman he wanted to, but he didn’t want to hurt him and opted to cruise to a decision. Fighting Hill in front of the Canadian crowd, I think there is a good chance that he will take a similar route, but opting to technically outstrike him rather than badly hurt him and stun the crowd. That combined with the fact that Hill is tough and hard to finish makes me like the play even more, and of course Hill’s resiliency and durability is a bigger factor than the possibility of Moraes opting to hold back some. Lightweight bout: Derek Boyle (+270) vs Shane Campbell (-330) Fight Goes to Decision (-165) .66u to win .4u I think this fight hits the judges’ scorecards for a decision more often than not, and at -165, it’s worth a small play. It also works as a bit of a hedge for Boyle (+270), in case the result of the rematch against Campbell turns out to be similar to their initial outing, with Campbell being victorious by way of decision. That said, I think Boyle has a decent chance of edging out the decision here, and I will be pulling for him to do so. Lightweight bout: Jose Rodriguez (+120) vs Mikai Maromo (-140) Maromo by Decision (+362) .5u to win 1.81u I like Maromo to get his hand raised in this match-up, especially considering Rodriguez missed weight by four-pounds at the weigh-ins yesterday. I think he should be the favorite, but don’t see enough value in him at his current betting price of -140 to make a wager, so I am eyeing the props, instead. Maromo to win inside the distance is +160, and Maromo to win by decision is +362. This is a scrap between two finishers who rarely see the judges’ scorecards, but I think this is a match-up that has a decent chance of making the three round distance. As I said, I favor Maromo to win here, and I think the chances of him winning by decision are slightly better than a stoppage, despite the fact that neither are “decision fighters” by any means. At +362, I have to make a small value play.
