UFC Fight Night 55 Date: November 7, 2014 Arena: Allphones Arena City: Sydney, Australia The Ultimate Fighting Championship is back in Australia this Friday night with UFC Fight Night 55, and the entire event will be live on UFC Fight Pass; with the main card kicking off at 10pm ET and preliminary action getting going at 7:30pm ET. If interested in making this parlay, or any other wagers for this UFC fight card, you will be able to do so at Several Bookmakerss. Here’s my three-way parlay for UFC Fight Night 55 in Australia: Middleweight bout: Dylan Andrews (-170) vs Sam Alvey (+150) Gabe’s Thoughts: New Zealand’s Dylan Andrews will be looking to bounce back into the win column with a win over Sam Alvey in this match-up, following his TKO loss to Clint Hester nearly a year ago. Alvey on the other hand will be hoping to pick up his first victory inside the Octagon, following a unanimous decision loss to Tom Watson a couple of months ago. I could see this fight playing out several different ways and the one thing all the scenarios have in common is that the fight ends up going the distance. These middleweights will be striking and looking to knock each other out, no doubt, but I think their toughness will hold up and they will battle it out for all 15 minutes of action for a judges’ decision. Truthfully, I could see Andrews dominating Alvey, Alvey dominating Andrews, or it being a very close and competitive fight. Regardless of whichever of those happens, I think the judges will be involved in saying who gets the call. I think there is value in the Over 2.5 rounds total at the current betting line of -205, as I personally think it should be -400. Gabe’s Call: Andrews by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) Flyweight bout: Louis Smolka (-350) vs Richie Vaculik (+290) Gabe’s Thoughts: The only realistic way Vaculik wins this fight is by outwrestling Smolka, and while he may be the better wrestler of the two, I don’t see that happening. Smolka’s takedown defense is improving, and while I think Vaculik will probably be able to score a takedown or two, I think Smolka will be able to quickly find his way back to his feet, where I believe the fight will be in his world. I feel the majority of this one plays out on the feet, where Smolka ultimately earns a T/KO stoppage, if not a three rounds to none unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. If Smolka shows up hungry and eager to make a statement, I think he can get Vaculik out of there within the first frame. Even at the current heavy-juiced price of -350, I feel there is enough value on Smolka, as I think he should be -550 favorite in this contest, and wouldn’t be surprised to see the line jump that high by fight time. Gabe’s Call: Smolka by T/KO (strikes, 4:45 round 1) Middleweight bout: Daniel Kelly (+225) vs Luke Zachrich (-310) Gabe’s Thoughts: While I am not at all big on Zachrich, I think he is much more superior a mixed martial artist than Kelly and feel he will be able to put him away via strikes in this match-up, if not earn a one sided three round decision on the judges’ scorecards. More or less, I see this as a fight for Zachrich to get some more Octagon experience and another win under his belt. I personally think he should be at least -450, so at the current betting price of -310, I feel there’s enough value in Zachrich to include him as the third and final leg to my three-team parlay for UFC Fight Night 55 in Australia. Gabe’s Call: Zachrich by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Andrews/Alvey Over 2.5 rounds (-205) parlayed with Smolka (-350) and Zachrich (-310) for +153 2.75u to win 4.2u
