Bellator 129 Date: October 17, 2014 Arena: Mid-America Center City: Council Bluffs, Iowa Bellator 129 will be live from Iowa tonight with 11 scheduled bouts, including a four fight main card that will be live on Spike TV at 9pm ET, with the preliminary card preceding it at 7pm ET at Spike.com. If interested in wagering on these proposition plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My props for Bellator 129 are: Welterweight bout: Josh Neer (-145) vs Paul Bradley (+125) Fight Goes to Decision (-160) 1.6u to win 1u Bradley by Decision (+215) 1u to win 2.15u I think Bradley’s wrestling is going to prove to be the difference in this match-up. I don’t think Neer will be able to continuously stop his takedown attempts, so unless he is able to secure a guillotine choke during one of Bradley’s attempts, I feel he is going to lose a decision here. I see “The Gentleman” taking Neer down, avoiding his submission attempts and grinding out a unanimous decision on the judges’ scorecards. I think this 170-pound scrap will make its way to the judges’ scorecards more often than not, and I see Bradley doing enough to pick up the decision the majority, if not all the time. I favor this fight to reach the judges’ scorecards, where “The Gentleman” gets the nod. Light Heavyweight bout: Houston Alexander (+105) vs Virgin Zwicker (-125) Fight Goes to Decision (+350) 1u to win 3.5u Alexander by Decision (+615) 1u to win 6.15u I think the chances of this fight reaching the judges’ scorecards are greater than the betting odds currently indicate. I feel there is a decent chance that Alexander wins this fight via decision, so I see a good amount of value in these props. Welterweight bout: Andre Santos (-155) vs James Terry (+135) Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision (-155) 1.55u to win 1u Santos ITD (+120) .5u to win .6u This is a battle between a pair of finishers who own a combined 35 finishes in 42 professional fights, and I see this one adding to one of their records. I feel this fight will end inside the distance more often than not, and I think Santos has a greater chance of finishing the fight than Terry does. I expect the Brazilian to finish this fight via submission. By no means will I be surprised to see Terry score the finish, which is why I have more confidence in the fight ending inside of three rounds than I do in Santos being the one to earn the stoppage.
