Gabe Killian’s Prop Plays for UFC Fight Night 46

Gunnar NelsonUFC Fight Night 46 Date: July 19, 2014 Arena: The O2 City: Dublin, Ireland UFC Fight Night 46 will be live from Dublin, Ireland today at 12pm ET on UFC Fight Pass with a four fight main card to be headlined by a five round featherweight contest between The Ultimate Fighter season 14 winner Diego Brandao and Ireland’s very own Conor McGregor. If interested in wagering on any fights or props for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My prop plays UFC Fight Night 46 in Dublin are: Featherweight bout: Conor McGregor (-475) vs Diego Brandao (+425) Fight Won’t Start Round Three (-135) 1.35u to win 1u Fight Won’t Start Round Four (-215) 2.15u to win 1u McGregor Inside the Distance (-262) 2.62u to win 1u I feel confident McGregor will finish this fight within the first two rounds of action, almost certainly by way of T/KO. I am not expecting a slow start by either fighter, or any feeling out process, whatsoever. I am expecting for both featherweights to come out of the gate firing and looking for the kill, and I think one of them will find it, and I think he will be Ireland’s own Conor McGregor. Welterweight bout: Gunnar Nelson (-540) vs Zak Cummings (+460) Fight Goes to Decision (+145) 1u to win 1.45u Both of these guys are tough to finish, so I think this fight will play out for all three rounds of action more often than not. Nelson is a finisher, so it would come as no surprise if he scores another one here, but I feel a decision victory is more likely for him in this outing. I think this fight could be a lot more competitive than the betting odds suggest. Light Heavyweight bout: Cody Donovan (+100) vs Nikita Krylov (-110) Donovan by Decision (+690) .5u to win 3.45u I favor Donovan to get his hand raised in this bout, most likely via stoppage, but I feel there’s value in this prop and will be making a small play on it. For a full write-up on this 205-pound scrap, please check out my fight article for the scrap. Flyweight bout: Josh Sampo (-225) vs Patrick Holohan (+205) Sampo by Decision (+155) 1u to win 1.55u Fight Goes to Decision (-170) .85u to win .5u I think this fight hits the judges’ scorecards more often than not, with Sampo getting the nod there more often than not. His superior wrestling will prove to be the difference in this match-up, as I think he will find success in implementing his takedowns and grinding the Irishman out on the mat for 15 minutes of action en route to a decision victory on the judges’ scorecards.

Written by Gabe Killian

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