Gabe Killian’s Live Dogs for World Series of Fighting 10

rfa 4WSOF 10 Date: June 21, 2014 Arena: The Joint at Hard Rock Hotel and Casino City: Las Vegas, NV World Series of Fighting 10 will be live on the NBC Sports Network tonight (Saturday) at 9pm ET with a five-fight main card that is sure to produce fireworks. If interested in wagering on this card, these lines will be made available to you at Several Bookmakerss. These are three underdog plays I like for this card… Lightweight bout: bout: Luiz Firmino (-160) vs Tyson Griffin (+140) Gabe’s Thoughts: To put it simply, I think this is going to be a close and competitive fight. I feel Griffin should be a slight favorite in this bout, so I see value in the current line of +140. Gabe’s Call: Griffin by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Tyson Griffin (+140) 2u to win 2.8u Featherweight bout: Lance Palmer (-525) vs Nick Lobosco (+415) Gabe’s Thoughts: I expect Palmer to find success with his takedown attempts and dominate Lobosco on the mat for three rounds en route to a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. That said, I’m not confident enough in that assessment to handicap Palmer as a -525 favorite. I think Lobosco should be a +300 underdog, so I see value in him at the current line of +415. I’m not expecting him to win, but won’t be surprised if he does. I will be making a very small move on him as purely a value play. Gabe’s Call: Palmer by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Lobosco (+415) .2u to win .83u Heavyweight bout: Dave Huckaba (+170) vs Derrick Mehmen (-230) Gabe’s Thoughts: This is a fight between two heavy hitters in the WSOF’s heavyweight division. Huckaba has a real passion for knocking people out, and the proof is in the pudding, as 17 of his 21 professional mixed martial arts victories have come by way of T/KO. He doesn’t have good footwork and isn’t very technical but he does put some decent combinations together. Striking is his bread and butter and he prefers to stand and trade, but Huckaba is also very confident in his ground game. While his opponent Mehmen is pretty durable, he has been finished before, and I think Huckaba has a decent shot at putting him away in this match-up. If it hits the judges’ scorecards, I feel it may be a toss up. I think Huckaba has a decent shot at both finishing this fight and picking up a decision, so for those two reasons, I feel he is worth a play at the underdog price of +170. Gabe’s Call: Huckaba by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Dave Huckaba (+170) 2u to win 3.4u

Written by Gabe Killian

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