TUF: Brazil 3 Finale Date: May 31, 2014 Arena: Ibirapuera Gymnasium City: Sao Paulo, Brazil Featherweight bout: Rony Jason (-310) vs Robbie Peralta (+230) Fight Breakdown: Kicking things off for the TUF: Brazil 3 finale main card on FOX Sports 1 will be a featherweight match-up between TUF: Brazil season 1 winner Rony Jason and California native Robbie “Problems” Peralta. Jason is the favorite heading into this bout at -310 ($310 to win $100) and “Problems” is an underdog at +230 ($100 to win $230) at Several Bookmakerss. Robbie “Problems” Peralta (17-4-1 NC MMA, 3-1-1 NC UFC) is coming off a third round knockout of Estevan Payan at UFC 168 five months ago. He was down two rounds and came out into the third blasting Payan for the knockout victory. “Problems” is an aggressive fighter who likes to move forward and throw heavy punches. While he does not possess good footwork, he is a solid counter-striker who is good at catching opponents as they are coming in. He owns a black belt in Tae Kwon Do and likes to deliver vicious leg kicks, which he used to hurt and outpoint Mike Lullo in his promotional debut; a blueprint Edson Barboza had already laid out for him. Peralta is not a great wrestler, but he does have some decent wrestling skills. He works a double-leg, and can be dangerous on the mat from top position. Training out of Team Xplode in Escondido, CA, Peralta’s conditioning seems to differ from fight to fight, but looked good in his last outing, so I expect he’ll have his cardio ready for a full 15 minutes of action. Rony Jason (14-4 MMA, 3-1 UFC) bounced back from his first Octagon defeat with a first round TKO of Steven Siler. He knocked Siler down and went to follow up with punches when the referee stopped the fight. It did not matter for the Brazilian, who was just happy to get back in the win column and now looks ahead at making it two in a row against the hard-hitting Peralta. Jason is a talented Muay Thai striker and kickboxer, as well as a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu under the Noguiera brothers, so he is threat both on the feet and on the mat. He has good judo skills and solid wrestling, as well, with an excellent top game to go with it. The 30-year old trains out of Brazil with the Pitbull brothers and Team Nogueira, and I expect his conditioning to be in check for three rounds against Peralta, should the fight go the distance. Gabe’s Prediction: I think Jason will get the better of Peralta on the feet, and if the fight hits the mat, I feel there’s a good chance he will pull off a submission, considering the massive advantage he has in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu over the Californian. Gabe’s Call: Jason by Submission (armbar, 2:28 round 2) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Rony Jason (-310) parlayed with Kevin Souza (-400) for -154 3.3u to win 2.15u
