The Ultimate Fighter: China Finale Date: March 1, 2014 Arena: CotaiArena City: Cotai, Macau, China Here are my prop plays for The Ultimate Fighter: China finale… John Hathaway (+315) vs “Stun Gun” Dong Hyun Kim (-345) Hathaway by Decision (+450) .33u to win 1.5u Hathaway +5.5 (+165) 1u to win 1.65u Not Kim ITD (-215) parlayed with Hioki -3.5 (-205) and Not Cheng ITD (-290) for +193 .5u to win .96u As I said in my fight article, I think this fight is a lot closer than the odds suggest, so the value in my opinion is with the Brit. I think he keeps this close and very likely takes a decision back home to the UK. Check out my article for a full write-up on this welterweight five-rounder. Matt Mitrione (-105) vs Shawn “The Savage” Jordan (-105) Mitrione by Decision (+635) .2u to win 1.27u I think there is a decent chance these two play it safer than usual and fight a technical fight. While I think there is a good chance Mitrione could score a finish on the feet, I am going to take my chances with the decision prop, as that is where I find the most value. For a full write-up on this heavyweight affair, I refer you to my fight article. Hatsu Hioki (-420) vs Ivan “The Pride of El Salvador” Menjivar (+375) Hioki -3.5 (-205) parlayed with Not Kim ITD (-215) and Not Cheng ITD (-290) for +193 .5u to win .96u Simply put, I think this fight is going to be all Hatsu Hioki. I feel like there is a decent chance he will earn the finish, but regardless, I think he will win all three rounds of this contest. For a full-write up on this bout, I refer you to my fight article. Nam Phan (-130) vs Vaughan Lee (+120) Phan by Decision (+190) .25u to win .47u More often than not, these bantamweights will battle it out for all 15 minutes of action en route to a judges’ decision, and I think a majority of the time, Nam Phan will earn that nod. For a full-write up on this scrap, I refer you to my fight article. Albert Cheng (+110) vs Anying Wang (-120) Wang -3.5 (+125) .2u to win .25u Not Cheng ITD (-290) parlayed with Not Kim ITD (-215) and Hioki -3.5 (-205) for +193 .5u to win .96u I think Wang is going to get the better of Cheng on the feet, and I feel he will eventually put him away with strikes. There is more value in the ITD prop at +180, but I am playing it safe by taking this one, just in case Cheng manages to hang on. I will close it out with another three time parlay I like: Anying Wang (-120), Hatsu Hioki (-420), and Wang Sai (-265) for +212 .5u to win 1.06u
