UFC Fight Night 33 takes place tonight live from Brisbane, Australia, and as always the fight card presents a number of opportunities to make some money, especially when it comes to prop bets. Below, I’ve listed five prop bets that I believe have a good chance of hitting, and that you should consider when finalizing your own plays. Mark Hunt vs. Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva doesn’t go the five-round distance (-610) In the main event of the evening, Mark Hunt will fight Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva in a matchup that is going to end inside the distance, no ifs, ands, or buts. At -610, the prop on this fight not going the five-round distance is good as parlay fodder, as it would be absolutely shocking if one of these two fighters didn’t finish each other. Ryan Bader vs. Anthony Perosh doesn’t go the three-round distance (-600) In a light heavyweight bout, Ryan Bader takes on Anthony Perosh in a matchup that definitely isn’t going the full three rounds. Both these guys have finishing ability but also holes in their defences, so there’s no way this one is going 15 minutes. That’s why I really like parlaying the prop on this fight not going the distance at -600 with some of my other plays in order to get better odds. Bethe Correia vs. Julie Kedzie goes three-round distance (-230) In a women’s bantamweight bout, UFC newcomer Bethe Correia takes on Julie Kedzie. It’s a fight that should be close and competitive, and at the end of the day the fight should hit the scorecards. At only -230, I think there is value on this fight hitting the scorecards, and if you bet this prop instead of a side you won’t have to sweat a judges’ decision. Takeya Mizugaki vs. Nam Phan goes three-round distance (-230) In a bantamweight bout, Takeya Mizugaki takes on Nam Phan in a fight that should turn out to be a three-round barnburner. The prop on this fight going the full 15 minutes is only -230, which is a very fair price to pay as both of these men almost always go to the scorecards and I don’t see this fight going any differently, unless Phan’s chin is that much worse at 135 pounds. Krzysztof Jotko vs. Bruno Santos goes three-round distance (-165) And finally, in one of the preliminary bouts, UFC newcomers Krzysztof and Bruno Santos square off against one another in a fight I believe will hit the scorecards. I believe that at only -165, there is tremendous value in betting the prop on this fight going the distance, as both men are decision machines. I honestly think this prop should be like -300 at least, because neither Jotko or Santos is much of a finisher.
