Yesterday the remaining main card lines for UFC Fight Night 28 were released at 5Dimes Sportsbook. Today, MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas rounded out the card by opening the preliminary lines for the card. Take a look at the full opening lines below, and note that the newest lines are bolded: ——————– MAIN CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET) Glover Teixeira -285 Ryan Bader +205 Ronaldo Souza -210 Yushin Okami +160 Joseph Benavidez -350 Jussier Formiga +250 Francisco Trinaldo -260 Piotr Hallmann +180 Rafael Natal -210 Tor Troeng +160 Ali Bagautinov -260 Marcos Vinicius +180 ——————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 6 p.m. ET) Felipe Arantes -185 Kevin Souza +145 Elias Silverio -150 Joao Zeferino +110 Lucas Martins -265 Ramiro Hernandez +185 ——————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 5 p.m. ET) Ivan Jorge -130 Keith Wisniewski -110 Yuri Villefort -125 Sean Spencer -115 ——————– Brad’s Analysis: The success of Brazilians when fighting in their home country is something that has been well-documented, and is something I also plan to do a follow up article on, but this card could be an outlier in that department. I could actually see the foreign fighters coming out of this event with a winning record for the first time since the UFC returned to Brazil at UFC 134. That is due in large part to the preliminary fights. As I mentioned in the odds update yesterday, with the increase in Brazilian cards it is going to be increasingly difficult for the UFC to continue to providing the same type of favorable matchmaking that we’ve become accustomed to. On the main card, two Brazilians actually opened as solid underdogs, and I expect Benavidez and Bagautinov to come through. On the undercard, we don’t see the same type of lopsided lines, but I do believe that all three non-Brazilians have a solid case to be made for winning their fights. Junior Hernandez is a very tough, well-rounded, fighter who has only lost to top competition in his career, and I’m not sure Lucas Martins is there at this point. Keith Wisniewski is a durable veteran who is taking on a Brazilian in Ivan Jorge who has a very inflated record. Wisniewski is by no means a fantastic fighter, but he should be bigger and a better grinder in this fight. Finally, Yuri Villefort is a very talented fighter, but can never seem to put everything together in the cage. His cardio in particular has let him down in the past, and with Spencer coming down to his natural weight class he won’t be completely bullied in this fight and could very well outwork Villefort in the later rounds.
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