UFC 164 Submission of the Night Props UFC on 164 is live from Milwaukee, WI tonight! The 12-fight card features many fights that fans are anticipating to see, and everybody is hoping for finishes. The UFC will be giving out a $50,000 bonus for Submission of the Night — the option to bet on which fighter will win said bonus is only available at Several Bookmakerss. Gabe’s #1 Play for Submission of the Night: Nikita Krylov +900 — There is a realistic chance Krylov ends this by submission. It is the only fight I can look at on this entire card and say, “This guy is going to win by submission.” There is a chance that there won’t be many finishes on this card, so there is value in this line, as it could have an easy route to cashing. Other considerations: #2 Frank Mir +1100 — I think Mir’s most likely route to victory in this bout is to catch Barnett in a submission. If there is a knockout in this fight, it is very likely that Mir will be the one getting his lights put out. If there fight goes all the way to the judges scorecards, I believe Barnett will take the Decision more often than not. But while both fighters are elite submission artists, I think it is Frank Mir who will walk away with the submission finish, should the fight end that way. A few weeks ago, I recommended on my Twitter that a play on Melvin Guillard +600 for Knockout of the Night was the best bet to make, if you were backing Melvin Guillard. I felt if he won that fight, there was a good chance it would be by impressive knockout, thus earning him the bonus. Same mentality goes behind this play; if Mir wins, it will likely be by submission, thus earning him the bonus. I don’t know about you, but I like +1100 a lot more than the current line of +145 you’re getting him straight for. #3 Benson Henderson +2000 — In my write-up, I predicted Bendo wraps this one up by guillotine choke at the start of the fourth. If you think that’s even a remote possibility, there’s value in this line. #4 Dustin Poirier +850 — I think his fight versus Koch will go the distance more often than not, but I could see Poirier potentially submitting Koch. He is ever-improving with his submission game and will have the BJJ advantage going into this bout.
