UFC Fight Night 142 takes place Saturday, December 1 at Adelaide Entertainment Centre in Adelaide, Australia. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the complete odds for the card, and here they are.
UFC Fight Night 142 Opening Odds
Junior dos Santos -135
Tai Tuivasa -105
Mark Hunt -155
Justin Willis +115
Tyson Pedro -210
Mauricio Rua +160
Wilson Reis -150
Ben Nguyen +110
Alexey Kunchenko -320
Yushin Okami +240
Anthony Rocco Martin -135
Jake Matthews -105
Jim Crute -245
Paul Craig +175
Sodiq Yusuff -385
Suman Mokhtarian +265
Christos Giagos -365
Mizuto Hirota +255
Keita Nakamura -195
Salim Touahri +155
Damir Ismagulov -405
Alex Gorgees +285
Kai Kara France -365
Elias Garcia +255
And here are my initial reactions to the odds:
– The main event between JDS and Tuivasa should be a real banger of a fight between two genuine knockout artists. JDS returned from his USADA suspension in his last fight and looked like he hadn’t been away from the Octagon for long as he dominated Blagoy Ivanov for five rounds. Tuivasa, meanwhile, is 3-0 in the UFC and is undefeated in his MMA career but JDS is a significant step up for a guy who struggled to pull a shot Andrei Arlovski away. Tuivasa will have the hometown edge here and he’s the younger guy, but I like JDS quite a bit in this one.
– The Hunt vs. Willis fight, on the other hand, has the potential to be a snoozefest. There’s little chance Willis will want to stand and trade with Hunt and he’ll be shooting for takedowns the entire time. Hunt’s takedown defense has looked terrible in recent fights but he’s still a powerful striker and will have the crowd behind him in this one. I think Hunt can win, but I don’t know if I would lay the juice on someone who is 45 years old going up against a younger and more athletic heavyweight. The value might be on Willis here as the dog.
– As far as favorites go, Crute should beat Craig rather easily and I also like Ismagulov to beat Gorgees. As well, Kunchenko should be able to get by Okami and Yusuff should beat Mokhtarian. Nakamura should also edge Touahri.
– For dogs, I’d take a look at Giagos over Hirota. Yes Giagos is the younger fighter and has some untapped upside, but this is a guy who has consistently lost every time he’s been given an opportunity in the UFC. Hirota isn’t a great figher but he is very experienced and knows how to win a decision. In my mind, this is a dog-or-pass situation. The same goes for the France vs. Garcia fight. France is on a nice win streak and Garcia lost his UFC debut, but considering how close some of these flyweight fights are I would rather take my shot on the dog in Garcia.
– There’s a couple of fights where I would recommend a straight pass. I don’t think I would want to put any money on Shogun at this point of his career, but at the same time I believe Pedro is being overvalued here when he hasn’t looked that great himself lately. Martin vs. Matthews also looks like a very close fight and not one that has a clear favorite in it.
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