PFL 10 take place Saturday, October 20 at St. Elizabeths East Entertainment and Sports Arena in Washington, D.C. Several Bookmakers recently opened up the odds for the card, and here they are.
PFL 10 Opening Odds
Abusupiyan Magomedov -280
Gasan Umalatov +225
Ray Cooper III -350
Jake Shields +250
Rick Story -200
Handesson Ferreira +160
John Howard -170
Eddie Gordon +140
Magomed Magomedkerimov -300
Pavel Kusch +235
Louis Taylor -280
Rex Harris +225
Abubakar Nurmagomedov -205
Bojan Velickovic +165
Bruno Santos -300
Sadibou Sy +235
And here are my initial thoughts on the PFL 10 opening odds:
– Hard not to like Magomedov in the feature bout. Magomedov is on an eight-fight win streak with finishes in all of those fights and finished both Danillo Villefort and Anderson Goncalves in the first two rounds of the PFL tournament. He’s only 28 and is in the prime of his career and it’s showing. Umalatov is 1-1 in PFL with a decision win over Eddie Gordon and a submission loss to John Howard. That loss to Howard is a really big red flag in my opinion, and I’d say there’s a good chance Magomedov finishes this fight.
– Speaking of both Gordon and Howard, they meet in a fight between two guys lucky to still be in the running for a million dollars. Gordon is 0-2 in PFL and only advanced because of an injury, while Howard is just 1-1 and lost a decision to Bruno Santos in his last fight. I think you have to fade Gordon and pick Howard here, but I couldn’t put any money on Howard at this point of his career.
– Perhaps the most intriguing bout on the card is the rematch between Shields and Cooper. We all know that Cooper scored one of the biggest upsets of the year when he knocked out Shields in the qualifying round, and he followed that up with another knockout over Pavel Kusch. Shields rebounded nicely from the loss to Cooper with a decision win over Herman Terrado but it’s hard to ignore how badly he was dominated in the first fight. I’d have to lean Cooper for a pick, but at the same time it’s rare to see Shields as this big of an underdog. If the lines gets crazy I might take a shot at Shields.
– I’ve always been a big fan of Story and he has looked solid so far in PFL with wins over Carlton Minus and Yuri Villefort. Ferreira picked up a nice TKO win over Paul Bradley in his first PFL bout and is undefeated over his last four bouts, but Story is much more experience and more proven. I’d wait to see if the line drops a bit on Story, but I like him to win this bout and advance.
– For a dog pick, maybe take a shot on Kusch. I’m not ready to write him off just yet. The loss to Cooper looked bad but the win over Nurmagomedov shows he’s a threat. Magomedkerimov has looked really solid in PFL but his level of competition hasn’t been the best. I understand why he opened as the favorite but I would say this one is a dog-or-pass situation.
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