PFL 7 takes place Thursday, August 30 at Ocean Resort Casino in Atlantic City, New Jersey. The offshore sporsbooks recently released the full odds for the card, and here they are.
PFL 7 Opening Odds
Smealinho Rama -475
Jamie Abdallah +325
Sean O’Connell -160
Bazigit Ataev +120
Alexandre Bezerra -135
Magomed Idrisov -105
Anderson Ferreira De Souza Santos -260
Paul Bradley +180
Mike Kyle -155
Caio Alencar +115
Johnny Case -300
Jason High +220
Here are my thoughts on some of the bouts.
– The main event looks to be quite a mismatch. Rama (10-2) was the WSOF heavyweight champion a few years back but he has fallen on hard times as of late and is on a two-fight losing skid with a TKO loss to Brandon Halsey back in June. Abdallah (7-3) has been finished in three straight fights including a submission loss to Vinny Magalhaes in his last outing. This does look like favorable matchmaking for Rama, who should win this fight based on his knockout power and experience, but considering how bad Rama has looked as of late there’s no way I would want to be dropping this kind of juice on him. This is a pass for me.
– I’m liking O’Connell in the co-main event against Ataev. O’Connell (18-9) recently returned after a two-year layoff to score a knockout upset win over Ronny Markes in PFL. Ataev (18-2) is a PRIDE veteran who between 2006 and 2017 did not compete at all. He returned with a TKO win over TUF alum Jeremy May but was knocked out by Dan Spohn in his last bout in PFL. I just have to fade the guy who has barely fought over the past decade and I would go with O’Connell to get the win here.
– There could be some value on Bradley as a dog against Ferreira. Bradley (23-9) is on a three-fight losing streak and was knocked out by Joao Zeferino in his last fight but he has a ton of high-level experience and is a really good wrestler. Ferreira (11-1-1) beat Ray Cooper III last year and that win looks really good now but overall he hasn’t fought good competition and even lost to UFC vet William Macario. I wouldn’t be shocked if Bradley was able to outwrestle Ferreira and that’s why I wouldn’t lay the juice on him.
– Another dog I’m looking at is Alencar over Kyle. Alencar (11-3) is coming off of two straight losses but don’t forget he knocked out Jared Rosholt at one of the last WSOF events. Kyle (23-15-1) is coming off of a TKO win over Daniel Gallemore but he had been in a rut before that and was getting knocked out it seems like every other fight. Both guys are older fighters with power and shaky chins but as a dog I would probably go with Alencar as I would tend to fade Kyle at this point of his career.
– Due to High missing weight, his fight with Case was cancelled. PFL decided because it had playoff implications not to let High fight with an unfair advantage, and PFL gave Case three points for a forfeit win and he’ll move into a lightweight playoff spot.
