Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series 16 takes place Tuesday, August 7 at the UFC Gym in Las Vegas, Nevada. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the odds for the card, and here they are.
Dana White’s Contender Series 16 Opening Odds
Greg Hardy -280
Tebaris Gordon +200
Bobby Moffett -430
Jacob Kilburn +310
Joseph Lowry -245
Devonte Smith +175
Alex Gilpin -320
JR Coughran +240
Kennedy Nzechukwu -265
Dennis Bryant +185
And here are my thoughts on these opening odds:
– The main event sees Hardy (1-0) fight for a second time on the Contender Series against Gordon (3-0). Hardy looked amazing in his pro debut when he knocked out Austen Lane in just 57 seconds. He’s a freak athlete who could be a serious heavyweight contender if he keeps improving. Gordon has won all three of his pro bouts by stoppage including time spent in LFA. This is a heavyweight bout between two very green fighters. I lean towards Hardy because of his speed and power but considering it’s two relative rookie heavyweights going at it, maybe there’s some value on the dog considering the Hardy line was steamed to -675.
– Featherweights Moffett (12-3) takes on Kilburn (6-1) and this should be a good fight. Moffett has won four of his last five fights and has been competing in solid promotions like LFA and Victory FC against a decent level of competition. Kilburn has won his last three bouts including back-to-back wins over Elvin Leon Brito in his last two fights. Though Moffett has more experience and has fought better competition, I just feel like the line is too high in his favor and I think this is a dog-or-pass situation considering Kilburn’s odds.
– Lightweights Lowry (8-0) and Smith (7-1) collide in what should be a really good fight. Lowy is undefeated in his pro career and knocked out former WSOF lightweight contender Richard Patishnock in a recent fight. Smith has won all of his fights by stoppage including a knockout over UFC veteran Justin Edwards in his last fight. This looks like a pretty competitive fight but considering Smith has fought better competition I think there’s some value on him as a dog to win this fight.
– Another featherweight bout sees Gilpin (11-1) take on Coughran (6-0). Gilpin has won six straight fights since his lone career loss to current UFC fighter Dan Moret, including a submission win in ACB in his last fight. Coughran is undefeated as a pro and is a protege of Matt Grice, the former UFC featherweight. This looks like a good fight but considering the quality of Gilpin’s competition I believe he was correctly labeled as the favorite here and he should be able to get an impressive victory.
– One of the bigger mismatches on the card sees Nzechukwu (5-0) take on Bryant (5-1) in a light heavyweight bout. Nzechukwu has won all of his pro fights including a win on the first series of Contender Series and a win in LFA. Bryant has won all of his fights by stoppage but he’s been fighting in Alaska FC which is not known to produce good prospects on the Conteder Series. I just feel like you’ll see a huge difference in skill and talent here and I see Nzechukwu having an impressive performance.
