This Saturday we get an 11-fight card early in the day on Fight Pass. I have one bet in play for this card and I am looking forward to getting the win early and having the rest of my night to celebrate. The odds took a while to come out this week and we still don’t have the props available as I write this but I have one bet as of now and I feel confident it will cash.
I haven’t made many parlays lately but this week the one bet that stuck out to me was a parlay and I am confident enough to lay the juice at -142. The first leg of this parlay is Tom Duquesnoy vs Terrion Ware. Currently, Duquesnoy is a -355 favorite over Ware and I think that line is about right. I don’t like betting guys straight at over -300 odds that is why I chose to parlay this instead of betting it outright. In this matchup, I see it mainly playing out on the feet and I believe Tom has more tools to work with and is the more dangerous striker of the two. I like how Tom mixes in his elbows and knees with his strikes and you never know what is throwing next. Ware on the other hand has decent stand up but has not impressed me much in either of his fights thus far in the UFC. I do think Duquesnoy has a pretty bright future in the UFC and this is the perfect matchup for him to show his potential. If this ground does hit the ground I expect it to be Tom to be the one taking it there and having the advantage as well. I think we will see a striking battle with Duquesnoy possible getting a finish due to TKO or even doctors stoppage with the number of elbows he likes to throw. If he doesn’t get the finish I am confident enough that he will win 2 if not all 3 rounds and get his hand raised via Unanimous Decision.
The second and final leg of the parlay is newcomer Hakeem Dawodu over Danny Henry. Dawodu is coming into this fight as a very hyped prospect and after seeing the film myself I have to agree with the hype. Danny Henry is coming off a win over Daniel Teymur where he was able to have the cardio edge and get the better of Teymur after he started to gas from the first round beating he was handing Henry. In this fight, I see Dawodu having a huge advantage on the feet and being able to keep the fight there where the advantage is in his favor. Currently, you can get Dawodu at -310 odds and if you parlay that with the -355 Duquesnoy is at then you can get parlay odds of -144 and I think that is the way to play it. I think Dawodu should be able to get a finish along the way in a 15 minute stand up fight with Henry but even if he can’t get the finish he should get an easy judge’s decision if he can keep this fight standing and not spend much/any time on his back. I think the ceiling on this kid could be very high and I’m looking forward to seeing how he performs in his UFC debut.
Recommended play – Duquesnoy/Dawodu parlay to win 3 units