UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Date: January 20th
Arena: TD Garden
City: Boston, MA

The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is headed to Boston, MA for the fifth time in promotional history with UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou. The 11 fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 7 p.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m., with the main card getting under way on Pay Per View at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are made available at 5Dimes Sportsbook.

My Fights to AVOID betting are:

Featherweight bout: Brandon Davis (-115) vs. Kyle Bochniak (-105)

Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Davis should be a slight-140 betting favorite entering this contest, which will be his UFC debut. I can’t fault anybody for taking a shot on him at the current price, as I do see it as a “favorite or pass” situation. For me personally, though, it is indeed going to have to be a pass. I think this fight is going to come down to whether Bochniak can keep it standing long enough to edge out two out of three rounds or not, because I believe he is the superior boxer, though Davis should have the edge on the mat, and I expect him to look for takedowns. This is a fight I can see Davis losing on the scorecards if it’s close. He may need to make it one sided in order to get the call, as I believe the crowd in Boston will be on Bochniak’s side. Davis should take this one, but I wanna stay away.

Gabe’s Call: Davis by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID

Lightweight bout: Islam Makhachev (-235) vs. Gleison Tibau (+195)

Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Makhachev should be a -180 betting favorite entering this 155 pound contest, so I see no betting value in him at his current offering price of -235. I also don’t think Tibau is quite worthy of a wager at +195, either, so for me, this is going to have to be a fight I avoid at the sportsbook come Saturday night, and I advise you do the same. Tibau is coming off a long layoff and there are a lot of question marks surrounding him at this point.

Gabe’s Call: Makhachev by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID


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