UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega
Date: December 9
Arena: Save Mart Center
City: Fresno, CA
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is will be traveling to Fresno, CA for the first time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 123: Swanson vs. Ortega. The stacked 13 fight card is set to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30 p.m. ET, and prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m. The main card will get underway on the same channel at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are made available at Several Bookmakers.
Here is my parlay:
Bantamweight bout: Merab Dvalishvili (-155) vs. Frankie Saenz (+135)
Gabe’s Thoughts: Saenz may have the wrestling advantage here, but I believe Dvalishvili is the superior mixed martial artist of the two, and I would not be at all surprised to see him outwrestle Saenz. I see him keeping this fight on the feet and outstriking Saenz for the majority, if not entirety of three rounds to pick up a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards, potentially securing a T/KO or submission finish along the way. At -155, I see tremendous value in the Georgian, as I think he should be a -350 betting favorite heading into his UFC debut. If not for potential Octagon jitters, I would have had him anywhere between -450 and -600.
Gabe’s Call: Dvalishvili by Submission (2:13 round 1, guillotine choke)
Lightweight bout: Davi Ramos (-390) vs. Chris Gruetzemacher (+320)
Gabe’s Thoughts: Putting it simply, I see Ramos getting the better of Gritz both on the feet and on the mat in this contest. I think he has a great chance of both finishing him by submission or T/KO. I think he should be a -450 betting favorite here, so even at -390, I think Ramos is worth a play.
Gabe’s Call: Ramos by Submission (heel hook, 2:00 round 1)
Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Dvalishvili (-155) and Ramos (-390) at +106
