Fights to Avoid Betting for UFC Fight Night 122


UFC Fight Night 122: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Date: November 25
Arena: Mercedes-Benz Arena
City: Shanghai, China

The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is heading to Shanghai, China for the first time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 122: Bisping vs. Gastelum. The 12-fight card is scheduled to get going at 3:45 a.m. ET on UFC Fight Pass, with the main card rolling along at 7 a.m., also on Fight Pass. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are made available at 5Dimes Sportsbook.

My Fights to AVOID betting are:

Welterweight bout: Li Jingliang (-185) vs. Zak Ottow (+160)

Gabe's Thoughts: I think Jingliang should be a -160 betting favorite in this 170 pound contest, so I see no betting value in him at his current offering price of -185. I think he is the better fighter of the two, however that is in the first round. In the third round, I think Ottow will be looking like the better fighter, as I expect him to have the superior cardio of the pair. I think this fight will hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision more often than not, and I feel things will come down to the second round. I feel Jingliang will have enough left in the tank to get the better of Ottow in the second, and I will side with him for my pick, though the weigh-ins could end up changing my mind. In any case, at the current odds, I think this is a fight best left alone at the sportsbook this weekend.

Gabe's Call: Jingliang by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Gabe's Recommended Play: AVOID

Heavyweight bout: Cyril Asker (-260) vs. Hu Yaozong (+220)

Gabe's Thoughts: I’m gonna be straight with you. I don’t know a damn thing about Yaozong, but I do know there is no way I could bet Asker at -260, regardless of who he is fighting. The way I see it, this is a “dog or pass” type of scrap, and I don’t feel like gambling. I don’t like to think of most wagers as gambles, as I believe I generally have an edge, however I feel this instance would be purely a gamble. I’m gonna have to pass on this one come Saturday morning, and you’d be wise to do the same.

Gabe's Call: Asker by Submission (rear naked choke, 2:45 round 2)

Gabe's Recommended Play: AVOID

Tags: betting preview, Fight Preview

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About the Author

Gabe Killian

Gabe Killian

Gabe Killian is a mixed martial arts journalist and handicapper, as well as a stand-up comedian and writer.
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