UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones II
Date: July 29, 2017
Arena: Honda Center
City: Anaheim, CA
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Anaheim, CA for the seventh time in promotional history this Saturday (July 29, 2017) with UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones II. The stacked 12-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30 p.m. (ET), with televised prelims following on FXX at 8 p.m. and the main card getting underway on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers.
Here are my top totals for UFC 214…
Welterweight title bout: Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+175)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Woodley should be a 2-to-1 betting favorite in this contest, so I pretty much agree with the current betting odds, so I see no value in either fighter for a play. However, I do like the Total of Under 2.5 rounds at -135 here, as I think there is a good chance that this fight ends early. Maia has a size advantage over Woodley, as well as an advantage in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, so it is possible that he can drag “T-Wood” to the mat and secure a tap. The fight favors Woodley because it starts out on the feet, where he holds the advantage, and he generally has very good takedown defense largely due to his wrestling background. Woodley possesses dynamite in his hands, which is why I think the most likely outcome to this welterweight title fight is him defending his title with a knockout of the Brazilian. I think both scenarios are realistic, and I think there is a good chance that one of them plays true on Saturday night, so at -135, I think the Under is worth a shot.
Gabe’s Call: Woodley by T/KO (punches, 1:46 round 1)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 2.5 rounds (-135)
Welterweight bout: Robbie Lawler (-160) vs. Donald Cerrone (+140)
Gabe’s Thoughts: Both 170-pounders are coming off T/KO defeats, and I think there is a good chance that one of them will suffer a similar fate again. At coin-flip odds, I do like the Total of Under 2.5 rounds here, as I think this bout ends inside the distance more often than not.
Gabe’s Call: Cerrone by T/KO (headkick, 3:32 round 2)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 2.5 rounds (-110)
