UFC on FOX 25: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Date: July 22, 2017
Arena: Nassau Coliseum
City: Uniondale, Long Island, New York
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) will be on Long Island, NY for the first time in promotional history this Saturday (July 22, 2017) with UFC on FOX 25: Weidman vs. Gastelum. The stacked 13-fight card is set to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 4 p.m. (ET). Prelims will continue on FOX at 6 p.m., with the main card getting underway at 8 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for these fight cards, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers.
Here are my top dogs for UFC on FOX 25…
Middleweight bout: Kelvin Gastelum (-155) vs. Chris Weidman (+145)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Weidman should be a -150 betting favorite heading into this five-round middleweight main event, so I see value in him at his current offering price tag of +145. He will have a size advantage over Gastelum, including a seven-inch reach edge. I believe this fight comes down to cardio. Gastelum does have the superior cardio of the two here, but I am expecting improved conditioning from Weidman and think he will have enough in the tank for five full rounds of action. I see this as being Gastelum’s first real test at middleweight, and I don’t think he should be the betting favorite. At the current odds, this is definitely a dog or pass situation, and I do like the price on the dog.
Gabe’s Call: Weidman by Unanimous Decision (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Weidman (+145)
Lightweight bout: Chris Wade (-300) vs. Frankie Perez (+250)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this matchup is a lot closer than the betting odds currently suggest, so I see quite a bit of value in Perez at his current offering underdog price tag of +250. This is a rematch of a bout Wade previously won by split decision, and I would not say Wade has gone on to become a world beater since that fight to warrant a -300 betting line. At the current odds, I do believe Perez is the right side for a wager in what should be a closely contested battle.
Gabe’s Call: Perez by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Perez (+250)
