TUF 25 Finale: Johnson vs. Gaethje
Date: July 7, 2017
Arena: T-Mobile Arena
City: Las Vegas, NV
The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back home in Las Vegas, NV for International Fight Week with The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale: Johnson vs. Gaethje slated for this Friday (July 7, 2017). The 12-fight card will get underway with prelims on UFC Fight Pass at 6 p.m. (ET), which continue on FOX Sports 1 at 7 p.m. The main card will start on the same channel at 9 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers.
Here are my top prop plays for the TUF 25 Finale…
Michael Johnson (-165) vs. Justin Gaethje (+145)
Fight Goes to Decision (+325)
In short, while I favor this five-round lightweight contest to end inside the distance, I think the betting value is with the Fight Goes to Decision prop at +325. I think that line should be +200 and is worth playing at +250 or better.
CB Dolloway (-190) vs. Ed Herman (+165)
Herman by Decision (+540)
Putting it simply, I do favor Herman to win this fight inside the distance, but I think there is more value in the decision prop at the underdog price of +540.
Teruto Ishihara (-300) vs. Gray Maynard (+250)
Maynard Inside the Distance (+571)
I think there is value in this prop, as I think Maynard has a good chance of catching Ishihara during a slugfest and putting him out. Ishihara has the much better chin of the two fighters, but despite the fact that Maynard has been on a decline, everybody knows that power is the last thing to go. If these two start trading, then it’s anybody’s fight. At +571, I think it’s worth a gamble. I could also see Maynard finding success with his wrestling and ultimately securing a rear-naked choke submission victory.
