UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs. Lee
Date: June 25, 2017
Arena: Chesapeake Energy Arena
City: Oklahoma City, OK
The Ultimate Fighting Championship will be returning to Oklahoma City, Oklahoma for the second time in promotional history this Sunday (June 25, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 112: Chiesa vs. Lee. The 13-fight card kicks off on UFC Fight Pass at 5:30 p.m. (ET), with the prelims continuing on FOX Sports 2 at 7 p.m. Main card action will then get underway on FOX Sports 1 at 9 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers.
Kevin Lee (-135) vs. Michael Chiesa (+125)
Lee by Submission (+400)
Chiesa by T/KO (+545)
I think there is value in the Lee by Submission betting line, as well as the Chiesa by T/KO betting line. For Chiesa, I think a submission win is more likely than a T/KO win, but I think there is more value with the T/KO prop. Contrary to popular opinion, I think Chiesa has a legitimate chance of stopping Lee with strikes. While Chiesa is no world beater on the feet, he has shown some improved hands. He dropped and nearly finished Jorge Masvidal a few years ago, so I could see him putting Lee down, then away, considering the fact that Lee does not have a very good chin. He was dropped by a jab against Al Iaquinta and knocked out by a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt in Leonardo Santos.
Dominick Reyes (-320) vs. Joachim Christensen (+290)
Reyes Inside the Distance (-125)
Reyes by Decision (+300)
I think Reyes is likely to finish this fight, so I like the Inside the Distance play here at the current price.
Carla Esparza (-220) vs. Maryna Moroz (+200)
Esparza by Submission (+800)
I favor Esparza to win this fight on the judges’ scorecards, but I think there is a decent chance she submits Moroz. At +800, I definitely think it’s worth a shot. She submitted Rose Namajunas in her Octagon debut, and one could argue that Namajunas is tougher to submit than Moroz.
Tony Martin (-125) vs. Johnny Case (+115)
Martin Inside the Distance (+322)
I favor Martin to win this fight inside the distance. I think a submission is the most likely outcome, but I could see a T/KO stoppage too.
