UFC Fight Night 111: Holm vs. Correia
Date: June 17, 2017
Arena: Singapore Indoor Stadium
The Ultimate Fighting Championship will be returning to Singapore for the second time in promotional history this Saturday (June 17, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 111: Holm vs. Correia. The 12-fight card will be broadcast entirely on UFC Fight Pass, with preliminary action kicking off at 4:30 a.m. (ET) and the main card starting at 8 a.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this card, all betting lines are available at 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Here are my live dogs for the UFC Fight Night 111 main card…
Welterweight bout: Colby Covington (-325) vs. “Stun Gun” Dong Hyun Kim (+265)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this 170-pound matchup is much closer than the betting odds currently suggest, and at +265, I think Kim holds enough value to make him worth a play. I think he is capable of defeating Covington by T/KO or decision, although I think Covingon winning by decision is the most likely outcome to the scrap. I don’t think Covington is worth playing at the current price and see this fight as a dog or pass situation. Again, I feel the dog is worth a shot in this one.
Gabe’s Call: Covington by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Kim (+265)
Welterweight bout: Rafael dos Anjos (-265) vs. Tarec Saffiedine (+225)
Gabe’s Thoughts: RDA is making his welterweight debut after suffering back-to-back setbacks against Eddie Alvarez and Tony Ferguson at 155 pounds, including losing his UFC lightweight title to Alvarez in first-round knockout fashion versus the former. The Brazilian is hoping for new life at 170, and it all starts with a win over Saffiedine. I think this is a good matchup for RDA in the UFC’s welterweight division, as most other ranked 170-pounders would make for more dangerous opponents. That said, I don’t think it will be an easy matchup. This is a fight I could really see playing out so many ways, but I think more often than not it will hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, where it could be anybody’s fight. Contrary to popular opinion, I think there’s a decent chance that Saffiedine gives RDA a cold welcome to the division by handing him a one-sided defeat, likely a lackluster three rounds in which he outpoints the dos Anjos on the feet. To conclude, I think this welterweight affair is much closer than the betting odds currently suggest and believe Saffiedine is worth a play.
Gabe’s Call: Saffiedine by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Saffiedine (+225)