UFC Fight Night 110: Lewis vs. Hunt
Date: June 10, 2017
Arena: Spark Arena
City: Auckland, New Zealand
The Ultimate Fighting Championship will be returning to Auckland, New Zealand for the second time in promotional history this Saturday (June 10, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 110: Lewis vs. Hunt. The 12-fight card is set to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 7 p.m. ET. The prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m., with the main card getting underway on the same channel at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available at Several Bookmakers.
Here are my live dogs for the main card…
Heavyweight bout: Derrick Lewis (-120) vs. Mark Hunt (+100)
Gabe’s Thoughts: Hunt is on a decline, but nonetheless, I think he is a bad matchup for Lewis. “The Black Beast” is going to be outmatched and outgunned on the feet against Hunt, and I don’t think he will find much success with his takedown attempts. I think this fight stays standing, and I see Hunt getting the better of Lewis, likely knocking him out. The only way I see Lewis winning this fight is by catching Hunt clean on the feet, and the odds of that happening definitely don’t warrant him being a -120 favorite. I think Hunt should be at least a 2-to-1 betting favorite heading into this bout, so I see great value in him at his current offering price of +100. If he were not on an apparent decline, I would have said 3-to-1.
Gabe’s Call: Hunt by T/KO (punch, 1:32 round 1)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Hunt (+100)
Lightweight bout: Dan Hooker (-215) vs. Ross Pearson (+165)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I am in complete disagreement with the current betting odds, as I think Pearson should be heavily favored in this matchup. I believe Pearson should be -250, so I see tremendous value in him at his current offering underdog price of +165. He opened as a slight betting favorite at -130, with the return on Hooker being -110, but the public came in heavy on Hooker, making him a big -215 favorite. Maybe Pearson is sick or injured, and others know something I don’t, but I see this as being Pearson’s fight to lose. He will have a clear advantage on the feet and won’t be easy to take down. I can’t make sense of the current line movement. I think as long as he doesn’t get caught, Pearson wins this fight handily, either by unanimous decision or TKO stoppage.
Gabe’s Call: Pearson by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Pearson (+165)
