Plays for UFC Fight Night 109

UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira

Date: May 28, 2017
Arena: Ericsson Globe
City: Stockholm, Sweden

The Ultimate Fighting Championship is set to return to Stockholm, Sweden for the fifth time in promotional history this Sunday (May 28, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira. The 12-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 10 a.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 11 a.m., with the main card getting going on the same channel at 1 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines available at Several Bookmakers.

Here are my plays:

Middleweight bout: Jack Hermansson (-145) vs. Alex Nicholson (+125)

Gabe’s Thoughts: Both middleweights will be looking to bounce back into the win column following defeats in their most recent outings, with Hermansson being submitted by Cezar Ferreira and Nicholson dropping a unanimous decision to Sam Alvey. I think this is a close fight at 185 pounds, and I see some betting value in the underdog Nicholson at +125, as I think he should be a slight -130 betting favorite heading in. I think he is the more likely fighter to finish, and should the fight hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, I slightly lean in his favor there, as well.

Gabe’s Call: Nicholson by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Gabe’s Recommended Play: Nicholson (+125)

Lightweight bout: Nico Musoke (-150) vs. Bojan Velickovic (+130)

Gabe’s Thoughts: Musoke is returning to action following an extended layoff, and he will be looking to break back into the win column by taking out the Serbian Velickovic in front of his hometown crowd in Sweden. Velickovic is traveling to enemy territory for this matchup following a unanimous-decision loss to Sultan Aliev five months ago. I think Musoke will find success with his grappling in this welterweight matchup, as I see him pressing Velickovic against the cage and securing takedowns. I see Musoke making it ugly and pulling out a victory on the judge’ scorecards here in his return to the cage. A finish would not surprise me, but I think a decision W is the most likely outcome.

Gabe’s Call: Musoke by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Gabe’s Recommended Play: Musoke (-150)

Written by Gabe Killian

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