UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Date: May 28, 2017
Arena: Ericsson Globe
City: Stockholm, Sweden
The Ultimate Fighting Championship is set to return to Stockholm, Sweden for the fifth time in promotional history this Sunday (May 28, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira. The 12-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 10 a.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 11 a.m., with the main card getting going on the same channel at 1 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines available at Several Bookmakers.
My live dogs are:
Welterweight bout: Ben Saunders (-120) vs. Peter Sobotta (+100)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Sobotta will put Saunders on his back, defend his submission attempts and grind out an ugly decision win on the judges’ scorecards. I think he should be a -150 betting favorite in this welterweight contest, so I like him for a play at his current asking price of +100.
Gabe’s Call: Sobotta by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Sobotta (+100)
Welterweight bout: Nordine Taleb (-550) vs. Oliver Enkamp (+425)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I favor Taleb to pick up the win in this contest, but man, I think he is being way overvalued at the this price. At the current odds, I think this is a dog or pass situation, and I’m gonna have the pull the trigger on Enkamp at +425. He’s an undefeated prospect making his UFC debut in front of his hometown crowd, and it is against Taleb, who is not exactly a world beater. I think the most likely outcome to this matchup is Taleb outwrestling Enkamp for a decision victory, but I think Enkamp stands a decent chance at defeating Taleb. I think he should be a +220 underdog, so I’m going to have to make a move on him at his current asking price of +425.
Gabe’s Call: Taleb by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Enkamp (+425)
Middleweight bout: Chris Camozzi (-245) vs. Trevor Smith (+205)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I see Smith outwrestling Camozzi in this 185-pound matchup for the majority of three rounds to pick up a unanimous-decision victory on the judges’ scorecards, potentially securing a TKO finish along the way. Despite taking this fight on short notice, I favor Smith in this bout and see great value in him at the current offering underdog price of +205, as I think he should be a 2-to-1 betting favorite heading in. I see him finding success by putting Camozzi on his back, and I think that will be his key to victory here in this matchup.
Gabe’s Call: Smith by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Smith (+205)
