UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Date: May 28, 2017
Arena: Ericsson Globe
City: Stockholm, Sweden
The Ultimate Fighting Championship is set to return to Stockholm, Sweden for the fifth time in promotional history this Sunday (May 28, 2017) with UFC Fight Night 109: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira. The 12-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 10 a.m. ET. Prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 11 a.m., with the main card getting going on the same channel at 1 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines available at Several Bookmakers.
My Over/Under Totals are:
Light Heavyweight bout: Misha Cirkunov (-420) vs. Volkan Oezdemir (+335)
Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this light heavyweight bout is closer than the betting odds indicate, however, I am not moved to pull the trigger on Oezdemir. I do see this as a dog or pass situation, but I am going to ultimately make a pass on playing the underdog, and instead make a play on the Total here. I like the Over 1.5 rounds at -110, as I think there is a good chance this 205-pound contest hits the judges’ scorecards for a decision. I think the line for the Over 1.5 rounds total should be -180, so I think there’s good value in the current offering price. Cirkunov is coming off a first-round submission of Nikita Krylov while Oezdemir recently had a split-decision win over Ovince St. Preux. Both 205-pounders will be looking to keep their records unblemished heading into this matchup.
Gabe’s Call: Cirkunov by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 1.5 rounds (-110)
Lightweight bout: Joaquim Silva (-185) vs. Reza Madadi (+160)
Gabe’s Thoughts: Silva will be looking to remain undefeated inside the Octagon in this contest when he takes on Sweden’s own Madadi, who is taking this bout on very short notice, serving as a late injury replacement for Mairbek Taisumov. This should be an entertaining striker versus grappler matchup in the UFC’s 155-pound division, and I do favor Silva to come out on top with his hand raised. However, I can’t get myself to pull the trigger on him at the current betting lines, as even on short notice, I can see Madadi managing to grind out an ugly win. I favor Silva to come out on top here, but the play I like for this matchup is the Total of over 2.5 rounds at -220, as regardless of who gets his hand raised, I see a victory on both ends coming on the judges’ scorecards much more often than not.
Gabe’s Call: Silva by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 2.5 rounds (-220)
