UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson Date: March 18, 2017 Arena: The O2 Arena City: London, England The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in London, England this Saturday (March 18, 2017) for the ninth time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson. The 13-fight card will be streamed live in entirety on UFC Fight Pass, with preliminary action kicking off at 1:30 p.m. ET and main card action getting underway at 5 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available to you at 5Dimes Sportsbook. Here are my prop plays: Jimi Manuwa (-140) vs. Corey Anderson (+120) Fight Goes to Decision (+325) I wanted to play Anderson by Decision, but he fell from +450 to +368, and at the current odds, I think it is safer to take the Fight Goes to Decision prop at +325, in case Manuwa outstrikes Anderson but fails to finish him. Contrary to popular opinion, I favor this fight to indeed hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, as I think Anderson by Decision is the most likely outcome here. I would be a lot more confident if this were a three-round fight, but in a five-rounder, I think it’s still worth a shot. If this was a couple of years ago, I would not have recommended such a play, as Manuwa had displayed cardio issues in the past. However, he has since appeared to have corrected that hole in this game, though that may not necessarily apply to a five-round contest. Vicente Luque (-130) vs. Leon Edwards (+110) Luque in Round Three (+1200) Of the two welterweights, I believe Luque will be the better-conditioned fighter in the third and final round of this matchup, where I think he can potentially capitalize on a fading Edwards and score a finish. Makwan Amirkhani (-110) vs. Arnold Allen (-110) Allen in Round Three (+1300) Allen is the better conditioned fighter heading into this featherweight bout, and I think he may be able to capitalize on a third round finish. Brett Johns (-420) vs. Ian Entwistle (+335) Johns by Submission (+275) Make no mistake about it, there’s no question that Entwistle is the superior submission artist of the two heading into this bout, however, I think Johns is the superior general grappler. I think there’s a good chance he gets the better of Entwistle on the mat in this contest. I expect him to avoid submission attempts and score a finish, which could come by T/KO or submission. I think there’a decent chance that he takes Entwistle’s back and sinks in a rear-naked choke to earn the tap. Scott Askham (-145) vs. Brad Scott (+125) Scott by Decision (+225) Scott by Submission (+795) Scott +3.5 (-165) Not Askham Inside the Distance (-258) I think Scott by Decision is the most likely outcome to this middleweight contest, but I do also see value in the Submission prop at near 8-to-1 underdog odds. I really like the +3.5 spread prop here, as I don’t see Askham winning all three rounds or finishing Scott. Speaking of which, the Not Askham Inside the Distance prop at -258 offers value too.
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