UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson Date: March 18, 2017 Arena: The O2 Arena City: London, England The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in London, England this Saturday (March 18, 2017) for the ninth time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 107: Manuwa vs. Anderson. The 13-fight card will be streamed live in entirety on UFC Fight Pass, with preliminary action kicking off at 1:30 p.m. ET and main card action getting underway at 5 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines are available to you at 5Dimes Sportsbook. Here are my plays: Light Heavyweight bout: Jimi Manuwa (-145) vs. Corey Anderson (+125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this 205-pound main event scheduled for five rounds comes down to whether Manuwa can finish within the first 10 minutes of action or not. I think there is a good chance he can, however, I think there is a slightly better chance that Anderson survives the first two rounds and uses his superior wrestling to grind out the next three for a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards, potentially securing a stoppage of his own along the time. For a prediction, I say Manuwa wins the first round, the second round is close, then Anderson takes over the rest of the fight leading to a decision or potential T/KO or submission. I do believe that this is a close fight, but I think the odds should the flipped with Anderson being a slight -140 betting favorite. At +125, I do think he holds some value. Gabe’s Call: Anderson by Unanimous Decision (48-47, 49-47, 49-46) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Anderson (+125) Welterweight bout: Gunnar Nelson (-350) vs. Alan Jouban (+290) Gabe’s Thoughts: Popular opinion here is that Nelson is going to score takedowns at will and likely win by first-round submission. Personally, I think Jouban’s grappling is a lot better than people are giving him credit for. I am not confident he will be able to stop Nelson’s takedown attempts, but I am also not confident that Nelson will be able to submit him if he takes the fight to the mat. Jouban generally likes to put on exciting fights, and I think that could be costly here. However, if he has a good game plan, I could see him getting his hand raised here too. I think if he uses lots of movement, he will be able to outpoint Nelson and pick up a unanimous-decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. He is the superior striker of the two, and this fight comes down to whether he will be able to keep it on the feet, and I think using lots of movement would be a key to doing that. He should get on his bicycle, stick and move, and win the fight on points. I see that being a clear path to victory for him, and if he can avoid his urges to put on a show for the crowd, I think he will walk away with the nod, ultimately making it four straight wins for himself at 170 pounds and finally earning himself a spot in the division’s rankings. Gabe’s Call: Jouban by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Jouban (+290) All of my content and plays are free. Your support is greatly appreciated.
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