When ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ Finale cards roll around, MMA bettors are usually in for a bit of a wacky night. TUF usually clouds the public’s perception of fighters due to how they’re portrayed on the show over the course of 12 or 13 weeks. The one aspect of the card that the public is usually able to get a good read on are the fights featuring established UFC veterans. The odds for the TUF 17 Finale main event between Urijah Faber and Scott Jorgensen were already released through the MMA Oddsbreaker show. Faber opened as a large -400 favorite (bet $400 to win $100), while Jorgensen was a +280 underdog (bet $100 to win $280). Since that time, the line has gotten even longer as the #3 ranked Bantamweight by MMA Oddsbreaker’s rankings is now a -465 favorite, and Jorgensen is +340. Today, MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas released the lines for the other announced fights for the card at Several Bookmakers. Some of the fights involving ‘Ultimate Fighter’ contestants from season 17 will be revealed on tonight’s episode, while the remainder should be announced in the coming days. Here are the opening lines for the fights we know: ——————– Urijah Faber -400 Scott Jorgensen +280 Miesha Tate -175 Cat Zingano +135 Travis Browne -210 Gabriel Gonzaga +160 Bart Palaszewski -190 Cole Miller +150 Justin Lawrence -125 Daniel Pineda -115 Maximo Blanco -265 Sam Sicilia +185 ——————– Brad’s Analysis: This could be an opportunity for bettors to get Travis Browne at a discounted price as he is coming off what was clearly an injury induced defeat to Antonio Silva, which marked the first loss of his career. It turns out ‘Bigfoot’ is a pretty decent fighter as well. At the same time, Gabriel Gonzaga is on a three-fight winning streak, and the public has had a tendency to overvalue Gonzaga in the past when he’s on a roll. Neither Bart Palaszewski nor Cole Miller has had a tremendous amount of success in their Zuffa careers, as they have gone a combined 12-10, but it’s pretty clear that Palaszewski has consistently faced the better competition of the two. Whether that gives him an advantage in this bout remains to be seen, but has ability to be competitive against fighters like Hatsu Hioki and Anthony Pettis has been impressive, while Miller hasn’t really taken on fighters of the same calibre. Between Maximo Blanco and Sam Sicilia, there are 19 career victories, but only two by decision. Chances are this bout won’t reach the final bell, but who takes it is a close call as both fighters have KO power. Perhaps the under could be worth a look here. Stay tuned to MMA Oddsbreaker throughout the week for coverage on the TUF 17 Finale, including previews, picks, VLOGs and interviews.
