UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum Date: March 11, 2017 Arena: Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste City: Fortaleza, Brazil The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is in back in Fortaleza, Brazil for the second time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 106: Belfort vs. Gastelum. The 12-fight main card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary on UFC Fight Pass at 7:30 p.m. ET. The prelims will then continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m., and the main card will follow on the same channel at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available to you at Several Bookmakers. Here are my parlays: Middleweight bout: Kelvin Gastelum (-425) vs Vitor Belfort (+340) Gabe’s Thoughts: I don’t think Belfort can hang in there with the top of the division anymore, even against undersized middleweights like Gastelum. I see this as being Kelvin’s fight to lose, and I see another one-sided performance from him at 185 pounds, as he continues to make noise in the division. I believe Gastelum will get his hand raised on Saturday night, the question is if it will be by T/KO, submission or decision, which are all possible outcomes. Popular opinion is that he will end this fight inside the distance within the first two rounds of action. Gabe’s Call: Gastelum by Submission (rear-naked choke, 2:02 round 2) Middleweight bout: Paulo Henrique Costa (-265) vs Garreth McLellan (+225) Gabe’s Thoughts: This is more of a McLellan fade than anything else, to be honest. Costa is a solid prospect with potential, but I would not take him at -265 against many middleweights with Octagon experience. This, however, is a fight he should win handily to get his foot in the door. I favor him to win this fight inside the distance and early, despite the fact that McLellan is very tough to put away. If he fails to find an early finish, his cardio could get tested, as he has never gone the distance in his professional MMA career. Conditioning is McLellan’s best weapon, so if he can survive the first two rounds, he could be a threat to finish in the third, as was the case in his bout against Bubba Bush, whom he scored a come-from-behind third-round TKO against. Should he survive the first two rounds, I would favor Costa to survive the third and win a unanimous 29-28 decision on the judges’ scorecards. That said, I do think he finishes this fight early more often than not. Gabe’s Call: Costa by Submission (rear naked choke, 3:41 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Parlay: Gastelum (-425) and Costa (-265) at -143 All of my content and plays are free. Your support is greatly appreciated. 
Over/Under Totals for UFC Fight Night 106
