UFC 209 Date: March 4, 2017 Arena: T-Mobile Arena City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV this Saturday night (March 4, 2017) with UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson II. The action-packed fight card is stacked with 11 scheduled bouts that are set to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30 p.m. ET. Preliminary action will then continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m., with the main card getting underway at 10 p.m. on Pay-Per-View. If interested in wagering on any UFC 209 bouts, all betting lines will be made available to you at Several Bookmakers. Here are my live dogs: Middleweight bout: Rashad Evans (-235) vs. Dan Kelly (+195) Gabe’s Thoughts: If this fight was a few years ago, I believe Evans would be a massive betting favorite over Kelly, but the current betting odds speak volumes. Evans’ chin has not looked good at 205 pounds, and he is now making the drop down to 185, where I think it will be a bigger concern. Kelly is by no means a technical striker or a knockout threat, but I don’t believe you need to be one in order to put Evans away at this point in his career. I think that just about any middleweight who lands clean on his chin is capable of dimming his lights. At the current odds, I do think there’s a bit of value to be had with Kelly at +195, but I think the best play here is the Total of Under 2.5 rounds at +125, as I think this fight ends early via T/KO one way or the other. Gabe’s Call: Kelly by T/KO (punch, 0:54 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 2.5 rounds (+125) Lightweight bout: Lando Vannata (-360) vs. David Teymur (+300) Gabe’s Thoughts: I believe this 155-pound matchup is closer than the betting odds indicate. This is an excellent striker versus striker matchup, and despite Vannata being a solid wrestler, I am expecting him to keep this fight on the feet and look to out-strike Teymur. The longer this fight lasts, the more I favor the Swedish underdog. I think Teymur will manage to out-strike Vannata and beat him on volume over the course of three rounds. I see Teymur out-striking his way to a decision victory here, but I could also see him earning a late stoppage, should Vannata fade late in this fight. I am a big fan of Vannata’s, but I believe Teymur at the current odds is hard to pass on. Gabe’s Call: Teymur by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Teymur (+300) All of my content and plays are free. Your support is greatly appreciated. 
UFC 209 Newcomer Breakdown: Daniel Spitz
