UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs Nogueira II Date: November 19, 2016 Arena: Ibirapuera Gymnasium City: Sao Paulo, Brazil The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Sau Paolo, Brazil for the fifth time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 100: Bader vs Nogueira II. The 12-fight main card will get going with UFC Fight Pass prelims at 6pm ET, directly following the preceding UFC Fight Night 99 broadcast from Belfast. Preliminary action will then continue on FOX Sports 1 at 7pm and culminating with the main card on the same channel at 9pm. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakers. Here are my prop plays: Thomas Almeida (-310) vs Albert Morales (+280) Morales Inside the Distance (+378) 1u to win 3.78u Morales by Submission (+1600) 1u to win 16u Morales in Round One (+650) 1u to win 6.5u I think Morales has a good chance of ending this fight, and doing so in the opening stanza. I see value in these betting lines and think they are worth the risk. Kamaru Usman (-200) vs Warlley Alves (+185) Usman Inside the Distance (+519) 1u to win 5.19u I slightly favor Usman to win this fight via unanimous decision on the judges’ scorecards, however I think he has a good chance of getting a finish this evening in Sao Paulo. The Blackzilian has a cardio advantage over Alves heading into this bout and I think he stands a good chance of taking him into deep waters and putting him away. A T/KO is more likely than a submission, but it would not surprise me to see Usman submit a gassed out Alves, so that makes me favor the Inside the Distance prop, rather than the T/KO. Marcos Rogerio De Lima (-150) vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov (+140) Antigulov by T/KO (+689) 1u to win 6.89u I think this betting line holds great value, as I think Antigulov winning this fight by T/KO is the most likely outcome to this light heavyweight contest. He is giving up a size advantage and fighting on enemy territory in Brazil, but I think he is the superior fighter of the two and favor him to put the Brazilian away to silence the Sao Paulo crowd.
