UFC 205 Date: November 12, 2016 Arena: Madison Square Garden City: New York City, NY The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to New York City for the first time in both promotional and mixed martial arts history for UFC 205. The stacked 13 fight card will get going on with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 6:30pm ET. Preliminary action will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm, leading into the Pay Per View main card at 10pm. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakers. Here are my live dogs: Lightweight title bout: Eddie Alvarez (+135) vs Conor McGregor (-155) Gabe’s Thoughts: I believe Alvarez is the superior fighter heading into this title fight and think he should be a 2-to-1 betting faovirte, so I see great value in him at his current offering underdog price of +135. I can see him beating McGregor numerous ways and feel he has more routes to victory, whereas I think McGregor’s main chance at defeating Alvarez is to stop him with strikes early. I think Alvarez is also capable of stopping McGregor early in this fight and feel that could come to fruition on Saturday night. Over the course of five rounds of action, I do favor the battle tested veteran in Alvarez to come out on top. Bottom line, I will be making a value play on the underdog whom I believe should be favored at 2-to-1. Gabe’s Call: Alvarez by T/KO (punches, 2:09 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Alvarez (+135) 3u to win 4.05u Women’s Strawweight bout: Joana Jedrzejczyk (-410) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Gabe’s Thoughts: In short, I think this fight is a lot closer than the betting odds currently suggest. I really like the challenger for a value play at +330 here. A lot of people are counting her out and I think she can realistically pull out the victory on Saturday night. Gabe’s Call: Kowalkiwicz by Unanimoujs Decision (48-47, 48-47, 48-47) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Kowalkiewicz (+330) 3u to win 9.9u
