Tony FergusonUFC Fight Night 98: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson Date: November 5, 2016 Arena: Mexico City Arena City: Mexico City, Mexico The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is set to make its return to Mexico City, Mexico with UFC Fight Night 98: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson this Saturday, November 8th. The 13-fight card is set to kick off on UFC Fight pass at 6:30 p.m. (ET) with preliminary action, which will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8 p.m. and culminate into the main card on the same channel at 10 p.m. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at 5Dimes Sportsbook. Here are my live dogs: Lightweight bout: Rafael dos Anjos (-150) vs. Tony Ferguson (+130) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this is a very close fight and do agree that the betting line should be close. However, I think Ferguson should be a slight -120 betting favorite here, so I think he holds value at his current offering underdog price tag of +130. In what I expect to be a close fight, I think this is a solid value play. I could see Ferguson ending this fight any number of ways, whereas I think dos Anjos’ most likely route to victory would come on the judges’ scorecards following five rounds of main event action. Should the fight hit the cards for a nod, I think Ferguson is more than capable of earning it. Gabe’s Call: Ferguson by T/KO (punches, 2:34 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Ferguson (+130) 3u to win 3.9uMiddleweight bout: Sam Alvey (-235) vs. Alex Nicholson (+195) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this 185-pound contest is much closer than the betting odds currently suggest, so I like Nicholson for a value play at his current offering pricetag of +195. As for my official pick, I keep going back and forth and will likely need to see the weigh-ins and staredowns before making my mind up for the staff picks. As far as betting value, I think the 2-to-1 dog is the way to go here. It is worth noting that Nicholson flew into Mexico City ahead of time to get acclimated, so he should have the better cardio heading into later rounds. It is also worth noting that I will likely have a prop play on Alvey, given the value on the line I will be keeping an eye out for. Gabe’s Call: Nicholson by Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Nicholson (+195) 2u to win 3.9u


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