PFL 14 (PFL 2019: Week 3) takes place Thursday, June 6 at Nassau Coliseum in Uniondale, New York. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the betting odds for the full card, and here they are.
PFL 14 Opening Odds
Vinny Magalhaes -420
Emiliano Sordi +300
Denis Goltsov -280
Jared Rosholt +200
Satoshi Ishii -900
Zeke Tuinei-Wily +500
Muhammed Dereese -175
Kelvin Tiller +135
Ali Isaev -505
Valdrin Istrefi +335
Viktor Nemkov -555
Rakim Cleveland +365
Ronny Markes -420
Sigi Pesaleli +300
Rashid Yusupov -270
Mikhail Mokhnatkin +190
Francimar Barroso -300
Alex Nicholson +220
Jordan Johnson -350
Maxim Grishin +250
Ante Delija -505
Carl Seumanutafa +335
Dan Spohn -140
Bozigit Ataev
And here are my initial thoughts on the PFL 14 Opening Odds:
- The PFL 14 odds are finally here, so let’s get right into the card. For this event, the heavyweight and light heavyweight divisions are featured, and there’s definitely some interesting fights on the card.
- The main event sees Magalhaes take on Sordi. Although I do believe Magalhaes should be favored here because of his dominant ground game, I don’t think you can completely count out Sordi because of his knockout power. Magalhaes has been finished numerous times in his career including a TKO loss to Sean O’Connell his last time out, and if Sordi can touch his chin he can finish him. Magalhaes deserves to be favored, but considering the odds this is likely a dog-or-pass situation.
- The other light heavyweight bout I want to highlight sees Johnson take on Grishin. Johnson was released from the UFC due to a contract dispute but he’s still undefeated at 10-0 and has looked dominant at times. If he can develop some more finishing skills he could go far in this PFL tournament. Grishin has a lot of experience and has some good wins on his resume, so he should make this fight interesting, but Johnson’s wrestling should be the difference here and he should get his hand raised.
- I also really like the Nicholson vs. Barroso bout. I agree that Barroso should be favored because of his ability to grind out decisions, but he’s been knocked out a couple of times in his career and Nicholson has a lot of KO power. At these odds, it’s probably a dog-or-pass situation.
- At heavyweight, Ishii is making his PFL debut and he’s a gigantic favorite here to beat Tuinei-Wily. Considering his experience advantage, it’s hard not to favor Ishii here, but at these odds I don’t see any value at all in betting on him, and would recommend a complete pass here.
- It seems like Rosholt is being written off here against Goltsov. While Goltsov should have the striking edge and probably knocks Rosholt out, the threat of a Rosholt takedown makes it a risky fight to lay juice on.
- In general, I expect most of the bigger favorites to get their hands raised. But we have seen time and time again upsets happen in PFL, so do your research and pick your spots here. Unfortunately there is only a few hours to go until fight time, but do your research and try to find some edges if you are itching to make a couple of plays on this card.
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