UFC Fight Night 146 takes place Saturday, March 9 at Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas. The offshore sportsbooks recently opened up the bettings odds for the full card, and here they are.
UFC Fight Night 146 Opening Odds
Junior dos Santos -145
Derrick Lewis +105
Curtis Millender -125
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -115
Niko Price -125
Tim Means -115
Grant Dawson -185
Julian Erosa +145
Louis Smolka -210
Matt Schnell +160
Alex Morono -190
Zak Ottow +150
Alex White -175
Dan Moret +135
Jeff Hughes -150
Maurice Greene +110
Anthony Rocco Martin -210
Sergio Moraes +160
Blagoy Ivanov -130
Ben Rothwell -110
Yana Kunitskawa -150
Marion Reneau +110
Beneil Dariush -185
Drew Dober +145
Omari Akhmedov -230
Tim Boetsch +170
And here are my initial thoughts on the UFC Fight Night 146 Opening Odds:
- The main event between JDS and Lewis is likely going to end up with someone knocked out, and I’m pretty confident JDS gets the job done. He has looked excellent since coming back from his long layoff with back-to-back dominant wins over Tai Tuivasa and Blagoy Ivanov. Lewis lost by submission to Daniel Cormier in his last fight, and was lucky to get a win over Alexander Volkov his fight before that. There’s been a lot of fights where Lewis was losing and he came back to win, and I don’t see this being the case. In a five-round fight, I’m pretty confident JDS has enough time to get the knockout and I really like him at this low opening number. He’s the better technical striker, he has better cardio, and he has more experience going five rounds. Give me JDS all day.
- Speaking of Ivanov, he takes on Rothwell in another heavyweight bout on the card. Rothwell hasn’t fought since April 2016, and this is a situation where I think you have to fade him based on the long layoff alone. There’s some value on Ivanov here at a Pick ’em price just due to his recent activity alone, though the fact it’s heavyweight MMA means there’s some volatility built-in here.
- Another heavyweight bout sees Hughes take on Greene. I actually like Greene quite a bit, but Hughes beat him last year in LFA and I see no reason why he can’t beat him again. The low opening line here on Hughes was a gift.
- The co-main event on the card sees dos Santos take on Millender and this is a really difficult fight to call between two of the most underrated welterweights in the sport. Both guys are on nice win streaks, and the winner of this bout could jump into the division’s top-10. The Pick ’em line by the oddsmakers was bang on as this is an extremely tough fight to call. I recommend passing on this one unless either fighter grows to a big-enough plus number.
- The other welterweight Pick ’em fight sees Means take on Price an this is another tough one to call. I’d lean towards Price a slight bit here just due to his youth advantage, but the early action has been all over Means. If Price stays as an underdog, he would probably be worth a shot just based on line value alone.
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