Fightnomics Statistics

June 5th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 68 June 6th, 2015 Heavyweight Matchup: Matt Mitrione vs Ben Rothwell By @fightnomics Before we see potentially the last cage appearance by Dan Henderson, two Heavyweights with five combined T/KO wins straight between them will clash in a fight with plenty of power, and perhaps surprising implications for the division. Matt Mitrione…

June 3rd, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics Some argue that the peak of UFC popularity was around 2005. It was heyday of the “Iceman” Chuck Liddell and the “Pitbull” Andrei Arlovski. Half of all fights that year ended in a knockout, and another quarter of all fights ended in submission. Decisions made up less than a quarter of all fights,…

June 2nd, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 68 June 6th, 2015 Middleweight Matchup: Dan Henderson vs Tim Boetsch By @fightnomics The main event at #UFCNOLA features two fighters with a combined 3-9 record of late, but that doesn’t mean we’re in for a boring fight. Both Dan Henderson and Tim Boetsch have paid their dues, and each have pulled…

May 27th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics While the buzz of UFC 187 takes its time to subside, you don’t have long to recover until the next fight card. Fortunately, headlining the event in Goiania Brazil this weekend are two exciting veterans of the sport who have each fought for the Welterweight Title, but who present very different skillsets. Carlos…

May 7th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 65 May 10th, 2015 Heavyweight Matchup: Mark Hunt vs Stipe Miocic By @fightnomics In the UFC’s first trip to Australia’s best wine region, Heavyweights are taking over the main event as each competitor hopes to rebound from a loss to stay within striking distance of a title shot. Stipe Miocic recently fell…

May 6th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics In last week’s “fight of the century,” Manny Pacquiao averaged 27% power strike accuracy chasing the elusive Floyd Mayweather, who landed his own power head strikes at a more impressive 48%, although on much lower power volume. Boxing striking is different in many ways from MMA standup, but that metric of accuracy is…

April 24th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC 186 April 25th, 2015 Flyweight Championship Matchup: Demtrious Johnson vs Kyoji Horiguchi By @fightnomics Despite suffering harshly from the injury bug, there’s still a UFC title on the line at UFC 186 in Montreal, as well as one of the pound for pound best headlining the card. In his six title defenses thus far,…

April 23rd, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC 186 April 25th, 2015 Middleweight Matchup: Michael Bisping vs CB Dollaway By @fightnomics Last week on FOX we saw a title elimination fight between Luke Rockhold and Lyoto Machida, each coming off of impressive finishes in their recent wins. This week, the two men they defeated will face off in an attempt to rebound…

April 22nd, 2015
Brian Hemminger

Join leading MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas, Fight Scientist Reed Kuhn and MMA journalist Brian Hemminger for the best source of insider MMA betting and fantasy sports analysis: The Premium OddsCast, presented by 5Dimes. Our UFC 186 betting podcast gives detailed picks, bets and breakdowns for the entire fight card in two parts. – Part one…

April 22nd, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics The recurring stylistic matchup of wrestler versus striker is just as relevant today as it was at the dawn of MMA. And despite the requisite well-roundedness of most fighters in the modern version of the sport, individuals still come from specific backgrounds that are hard to shake. And when the cage door shuts,…

April 21st, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics While Demetrious Johnson is the pound-for-pound best fighter competing this weekend at UFC 186, it’s certainly not thanks to his offensive striking accuracy. In fact, “Mighty Mouse” comes in lowest on the list of fighters with sufficient sample size. So clearly the champ has been successful via other strengths. Although, perhaps we should…

April 9th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics When Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic walks into the Octagon this weekend in Poland, he’ll be the 19th fighter to do so under the UFC promotion at over 40 years of age. He faces Gabriel Gonzaga, who defeated him in a number one contender matchup nearly eight years ago at UFC 70. That these…

April 1st, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   We already looked at striking pace for the fighters competing at UFC Fight Night 63 in Fairfax, VA, which is a reasonable proxy for cage control in the standup game. So what happens when they hit the ground? As we’ll see, there are some haves, and have-nots when it comes to who…

April 1st, 2015
Brian Hemminger

Join leading MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas, Fight Scientist Reed Kuhn and MMA journalist Brian Hemminger for the best source of insider MMA betting and fantasy sports analysis: The Premium OddsCast, presented by 5Dimes. Our UFC Fight Night 63 betting podcast gives detailed picks, bets and breakdowns for the entire fight card in two parts. –…

March 31st, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   In the UFC’s third trip to Virginia, the card is loaded with the lighter weight classes. Smaller fighters usually fight at a higher rate, but there’s still a lot of variance in the striking pace within a division. This fight card is no different with plenty of frenzied strikers, but several are…

March 27th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   MMA fights are a volatile proposition. A single punch can change the course of a fight, ending it abruptly, or doing damage that leads to a lopsided performance. It doesn’t matter if the underdog is a 10-to-1 longshot, any UFC fighter is capable of winning on any given fight night. For bettors,…

March 12th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   As it turns out UFC 185 has a few very talented strikers in display, so that could make for some fun striking matchups when the UFC hits Dallas this weekend. We’ve already examined striking pace for these fighters, so which strikers really excel, and which ones fall short in their ability to…

March 11th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC 185 March 14th, 2015 Lightweight Matchup: Ross Pearson vs Sam Stout By @fightnomics Wrapping up the preliminary card is a potentially fun striker’s duel in the Lightweight division when Ross Pearson takes on Sam Stout. Both men are seasoned UFC veterans but are each coming off of tough knockout losses. These guys put on…

March 10th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

UFC 185 March 14th, 2015 Lightweight Matchup: Anthony Pettis vs Rafael dos Anjos By @fightnomics The Lightweight division in the UFC may be the most competitive, and that makes Anthony Pettis a champion among the elite. Yet it’s surprising that there isn’t a challenger worth better than three-to-one odds. But that’s the situation here when…

March 10th, 2015
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   There are some potential barnburners on tap at UFC 185, as well as some fights that will have very tentative striking. And there are several more that clearly pit contrasting styles against each other. The pace of standup striking is a good hint as to how a fighter likes to engage while…

January 22nd, 2015
Reed Kuhn

We’ve already seen that the FOX card in Stockholm this weekend isn’t exactly loaded up with snipers. But among the names on the main card are plenty of solid wrestlers, and that will play an important role in several of weekend’s matchups. Because as we’ll see, these fighters fall into two categories when it comes…

December 24th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics It was a whirlwind, friends! The year 2014 may be remembered most for storylines outside the cage, like the Reebok deal, the addition of the Women’s Strawweight division, the signing of CM Punk, and the continued global expansion. There was also bad news outside the cage, however, like the cancellation of UFC 176…

December 19th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 58 December 20, 2014 Middleweight Matchup: Lyoto Machida vs CB Dolloway By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  It will be the last UFC fight of 2014, and after a big double header weekend perhaps this feels like the year is ending with a whimper, not a bang. But then again, with two former…

December 19th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 58 December 20, 2014 Bantamweight Matchup: Renan Barao vs Mitch Gagnon By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  Before the evening’s main event from Brazil, the biggest favorite on the card will take to the Octagon for his first three-round fight in years. Dana White’s former pound-for-pound best, and Rogan’s favorite “monster” Renan Barao…

December 12th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC on FOX December 13, 2014 Middleweight Matchup: Derek Brunson vs Ed Herman By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  Whenever a UFC main card looks stacked, you can bet the undercard is solid as well. This weekend’s thirteenth event on “Big FOX” is no exception, with blockbuster matchups on the main card, and sneaky good matchups…

December 11th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC on FOX December 13, 2014 Welterweight Matchup: Joe Riggs vs Ben Saunders By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  Before we get to the Heavyweight card on Big FOX on Saturday, there will be a solid afternoon of preliminary fights in Phoenix. Among those appetizer matchups is a sneaky good matchup between two known veterans each…

December 9th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   When the UFC puts a show on Network Primetime, or “Big FOX” as Dana White calls it, they never hold back on matching up some heavy hitters. And this weekend will be no different when the final FOX card of the year heads to Phoenix, Arizona. With three different Heavyweight matchups on…

December 8th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   In a fight that many expected to be close, Hendricks and Lawler put in another highly competitive contest in a rematch of their first title fight at UFC 171 last March. But this time at UFC 181, it was Lawler who earned the decision. But not without some controversy. It was the…

December 6th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

This weekend’s UFC 181 pay-per-view card has two titles on the line in the Lightweight and Welterweight divisions, making the event one of the can’t-miss cards of the year. And in addition to the title fights, there are some intriguing matchups featuring potential future contenders in several more weight classes. Any serious MMA fan will…

December 5th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC 181 December 6, 2014 Lightweight Title Matchup: Anthony Pettis vs Gilbert Melendez By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  There’s no argument about matchmaking when the consensus #1 ranked challenger in the division takes on the champ, but the lack of drama in The Ultimate Fighter series may have people sleeping on this matchup. It may…

December 5th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

There are two titles at stake this weekend at UFC 181 on a card that is refreshingly loaded with talent and fun fighters. But if you needed one more reason to tune in this weekend, consider the number of sluggers that will be entering the cage on Saturday. Although the UFC isn’t using real punching…

December 5th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC 181 December 6, 2014 Lightweight Matchup: Tony Ferguson vs Abel Trujillo By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  There’s a potentially fan-friendly barnburner leading off the pay-per-view portion of UFC 181 when Lightweight sluggers Tony Ferguson and Abel Trujillo face off. Despite neither man being ranked, each is sporting a nice win streak within the UFC’s…

November 27th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

 By Fightnomics We’ve heard that smaller guys get no respect, but is that really the case? Which weight classes are given highest billing, and who is more likely to appear on a main card relative to other divisions? Dana White recently suggested than when there are multiple titles on the line, the ordering of top billing…

November 23rd, 2014
Reed Kuhn

 By Fightnomics Frankie Edgar has logged some serious minutes in the Octagon. In his UFC career alone, 285.5 minutes to be exact. That’s four hours forty five and half minutes of fight time against UFC-caliber opponents spanning a period of seven and a half years fighting in the that organization. That’s a lot. When Edgar…

November 21st, 2014
Reed Kuhn

In a fight with definite implications for the Featherweight title picture, former Lightweight champion and current #3 ranked Featherweight Frankie Edgar is taking on the surging #2 ranked Cub Swanson. The fight is definitely a potential barnburner, but they won’t be the only eager strikers on the card, as the co-main event features #7 ranked…

November 13th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC 180 November 15, 2014 Welterweight Matchup: Kelvin Gastelum vs Jake Ellenberger By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  In the co-main event from Mexico City is another pairing of ranked fighters where the lower ranked competitor is favored over the higher ranked one. When undefeated TUF 17 winner Kelvin Gastelum takes on former Welterweight contender Jake…

November 12th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC 180 November 15, 2014 Featherweight Matchup: Dennis Bermudez vs Ricardo Lamas By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  In a matchup that could have eventual implications for Jose Aldo’s throne, #7 ranked Dennis Bermudez takes on #4 ranked Ricardo Lamas in a key Featherweight tussle. Bermudez is on a ridiculous seven-fight win streak, and a win…

November 11th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics It may not be the main event we were hoping for, but the late replacement of Mark Hunt at least means there’s the possibility of a Cinderella story this weekend when the UFC debuts in Mexico. Despite low data visibility on the card due to a lot of new Latin American fighters being…

November 6th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 55 November 7, 2014 Middleweight Matchup: Clint Hester vs Robert Whittaker By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  In one of the more puzzling matchups this weekend, former Welterweight and TUF Smashes Winner, Robert Whittaker, is moving up a weight class to face surging Middleweight Clint Hester. The New Zealand native Whittaker has a…

November 6th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 55 November 7, 2014 Lightweight Matchup: Ross Pearson vs Al Iaquinta By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  In the evening’s co-main event from Sydney, the TUF Season nine winner Ross Pearson takes on the more recent TUF 15 finalist Al Iaquinta in a really solid matchup within one of the UFC’s deepest divisions….

November 5th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC Fight Night 55 November 7, 2014 Light Heavyweight Matchup: Guto Inocente vs Anthony Perosh By @fightnomics   Big Picture:  In a rare Light Heavyweight matchup relegated to the prelims at UFC Fight Night 55, there’s the potential for a highlight reel finish between two relative newcomers with very contrasting styles. Inocente opened as a…

November 3rd, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   The long-anticipated second sparring session between Luke Rockhold and Michael Bisping will come this weekend in Sydney Australia. Bisping claims he bested Rockhold back in their first meeting in the gym, while Rockhold claims he simply wasn’t bringing his best that day. After a continual escalation of words, it will be time…

November 1st, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics The trend that bigger fighters finish more fights has been known to MMA fans for a long time. But it was also born of a different era. When the UFC finally merged the smaller WEC divisions, and then soon after added Flyweights, we just assumed that the trend would extend down to lower…

October 25th, 2014
Brian Hemminger

MMAOddsBreaker feature writer Reed Kuhn stopped by ESPN’s MMA Live to offer some of his special statistical analysis on tonight’s UFC 179 pay-per-view main event rematch between UFC featherweight champion Jose Aldo and challenger Chad Mendes. Check out what the Fight Scientist had to say about the numbers behind the headlining bout below: If you’re…

October 24th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

Will the real Chad Mendes please stand up? The storylines going into this weekend’s UFC 179 title fight are very compelling. There is the Alpha Male versus Nova Uniao rivalry, the fact that Aldo is the longest reigning UFC champ, and the last Brazilian title holder, and obviously the history between these same two fighters….

October 24th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   When it comes to winning rounds on the cards, fighters are ultimately trying to “impose their will” on their opponents. And that means controlling where and how the fight is fought. The idea of “Cage Control” is very loose. Most will grant cage control to the fighter moving forward more often on…

October 21st, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics There’s a lot at stake at UFC 179 in Brazil on Saturday (Oct. 25, 2014). Jose Aldo is the UFC’s longest reigning active champion, the only UFC Featherweight champion in history, and also the last Brazilian champion in the promotion. When Chad Mendes challenges for the title this weekend, he has a chance…

September 26th, 2014
Brian Hemminger

Join leading MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas, Fight Scientist Reed Kuhn and MMA journalist Brian Hemminger for the best source of insider MMA analysis: The Premium OddsCast, presented by 5Dimes. Our UFC 178 betting podcast gives detailed picks, bets and breakdowns for the entire fight card in two parts. – Part one is available for free…

September 26th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics After the cancellation of UFC 176 and the unfortunate shuffling of UFC 177, the fact remains that UFC 178 is perhaps the most stacked card of the year. All 10 fighters on the main card are ranked, plus several more on the prelims. In addition to a title at stake, each of the…

September 26th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

UFC 178 September 27, 2014 Lightweight Matchup: Jorge Masvidal vs James Krause By @fightnomics Big Picture:  It’s fun when I get to look at preliminary fights because a fight card is so stacked that experienced and ranked fighters will be competing all over the program. So before we get to the main card at UFC…

September 26th, 2014
Reed Kuhn

By @fightnomics   We’ve already thrown compliments all over the stacked UFC 178 card, so it’s safe to say that any serious MMA fan is going to be watching this Saturday night. But digging deeper in to the stats brings out some of the battlegrounds within the matchups, the “fight within the fight,” if you…