UFC Fight Night 89: MacDonald vs Thompson Date: June 18, 2016 Arena: The Arena at TD Place City: Ottawa, Ontario, Canada The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Ottawa, Ontario, Canada for the first time in promotional history with UFC Fight Night 89: MacDonald vs Thompson. The 13-fight card kicks off with the UFC Fight Pass prelims at 6:45pm ET, with televised prelims to follow on FOX Sports 1 at 8:30pm ET and the main card getting going at 10:30pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Donald Cerrone (-155) vs Patrick Cote (+135) Cote by Submission (+2000) .25u to win 5u Cote by T/KO (+428) 1u to win 4.28u Cote in Round One (+725) 1u to win 7.25u Cote +3.5 (-160) 3.2u to win 2u I think Cote stands a decent chance of catching Cerrone and putting him away, likely early in the very first round of action. I also think the Submission prop is worth a tiny stab at +2000, as Cote is a legitimate black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and it would not surprise me to see him catch the smaller and less powerful Cerrone with a submission. Cerrone is known to be a threat off his back, but so is Cote. His submission game is very under-rated and this betting line is evident of that. Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-400) vs Thibault Gouti (+325) Aubin-Mercier by Submission (+130) 1u to win 1.3u Putting it simply, I think this is the most likely outcome to this lightweight contest. Ion Cutelaba (+160) vs Misha Cirkunov (-185) Cirkunov by Decision (+471) 1u to win 4.7u Cutelaba by Decision (+1138) 1u to win 11.38u If Cutelaba fails to knock Cirkunov out, I think this fight is going to end up hitting the scorecards, where I favor Cirkunov to pick up the nod but it could be anybody’s fight. Chris Beal (-120) vs Joe Soto (+100) Soto by Submission (+460) 1u to win 4.6u Soto has a big advantage in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu heading into this contest and if it hits the mat I think Beal will be in danger. I see value in the Submission prop at +460, especially considering the fact that I do like Soto to pick up his first UFC victory in this spot and do favor him to do so by submission. Jason Saggo (-175) vs Leandro Silva (+155) Saggo Inside the Distance (+203) 2u to win 4.06u I think Saggo is going to make this a one-sided fight and put Silva way, either by TKO or submission. I see his takedowns and top control being the difference in this match-up, as I think it will either lead to a TKO stoppage or tapout.
